Nissan 300ZX (Z32)
Flagged undervalued because asking -15% vs historic sold, sell-through 99%, and -17% vs 2-yr avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 34 yr, 65k mi example, ~$17.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 45% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 64 scored forecasts: 45% got the direction right, median value error ±55%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 365 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±31%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 1993 | $9.6K–$33.2K | $6.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-29 | 1993 · 150k mi | $7.9K–$21.0K | $5.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-28 | 1990 | $9.6K–$33.2K | $19.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-09 | 1996 · 54k mi | $11.8K–$31.1K | $21.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-26 | 1990 · 54k mi | $11.9K–$31.5K | $15.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-09 | 1993 | $10.0K–$34.5K | $27.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-09 | 1993 · 52k mi | $12.0K–$31.7K | $25.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-20 | 1991 · 75k mi | $10.6K–$28.0K | $24.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1992 · 92k mi | ebay | $7.5K–$25.8K ($13.9K) |
| open | 1993 · 93k mi | ebay | $7.5K–$25.6K ($13.8K) |
| open | 1990 · 149k mi | ebay | $6.6K–$22.6K ($12.2K) |
| open | 1992 · 35k mi | ebay | $11.3K–$38.6K ($20.9K) |
| open | 1990 · 56k mi | BaT | $9.7K–$33.1K ($17.9K) |
| open | 1990 · 88k mi | BaT | $7.7K–$26.5K ($14.3K) |
| open | 1991 · 98k mi | BaT | $7.3K–$24.9K ($13.5K) |
| open | 1990 · 5k mi | ebay | $16.7K–$57.2K ($30.9K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 50% |
| 12 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 45% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 37% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 17 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2014
$100K invested 2014-09 → today (11.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.56). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 41 | 58 | 39 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 64 | 51 | 45 |
| Toyota AE86 | 65 | 61 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 50 | 52 | 51 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 59 | 39 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 66 | 44 | 22 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 53 | 62 | 60 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 70 | 33 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,750 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$13,745 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$13,995 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,750 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.