Honda S2000 (AP1)
The Honda S2000 (AP1) market outlook suggests slightly positive appreciation momentum at 51.47 and good liquidity at 54.08, with forecasts indicating an upward direction with probabilities ranging from 0.49 to 0.53 over 6 to 24 months, though within a volatile regime. This outlook, with a confidence of 0.935, is strongly correlated (-0.67) with the High-Yield Bond Spread over a 10-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 25 yr, 38k mi example, ~$27.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 38% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 58 scored forecasts: 38% got the direction right, median value error ±18%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 502 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±11%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 2002 · 26k mi | $18.3K–$48.3K | $37.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-31 | 2000 · 65k mi | $14.2K–$37.4K | $29.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-27 | 2003 · 86k mi | $12.5K–$32.9K | $10.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-21 | 2002 · 1k mi | $27.6K–$72.8K | $75.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-18 | 2002 · 30k mi | $17.6K–$46.5K | $27.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-10 | 2001 · 26k mi | $18.3K–$48.1K | $33.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-07 | 2002 · 39k mi | $16.6K–$43.6K | $36.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | 2001 · 126k mi | $10.6K–$27.8K | $23.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2001 | C&B | $14.7K–$50.5K ($27.3K) |
| open | 2000 | C&B | $15.6K–$53.4K ($28.9K) |
| open | 2002 · 158k mi | classic | $9.6K–$32.9K ($17.8K) |
| open | 2002 · 98k mi | classic | $11.1K–$38.0K ($20.5K) |
| open | 1999 · 91k mi | classic | $11.3K–$38.8K ($20.9K) |
| open | 2000 · 25k mi | classic | $17.5K–$60.1K ($32.5K) |
| open | 2000 · 28k mi | classic | $17.1K–$58.7K ($31.7K) |
| open | 2000 · 55k mi | classic | $14.0K–$48.2K ($26.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 45% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 38% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 39% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 10 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2018
$100K invested 2018-01 → today (8.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 19 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 40 | 55 | 36 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 64 | 46 | 43 |
| Toyota AE86 | 60 | 59 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 60 | 40 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 63 | 42 | 21 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 59 | 57 | 60 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 72 | 31 | 55 |
| Honda Civic Type R (FK8) | 31 | 71 | 50 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$6,900 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-7,800 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,901 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.