Honda S2000 (AP1)
The Honda S2000 (AP1) market indicates a high-confidence outlook, with probabilities of an 'up' direction ranging from 0.5 at 6 months to 0.55 at 24 months, operating consistently within a volatile regime. Current scores show liquidity at 52.94 and depreciation risk at 52.69. The High-Yield Bond Spread, with a correlation of -0.57, is the strongest leading indicator for this market.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 23 yr, 41k mi example, ~$28.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 49% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 55 scored forecasts: 49% got the direction right, median value error ±24%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 492 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±11%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | 2002 · 34k mi | $18.6K–$49.0K | $28.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | 2001 · 110k mi | $12.0K–$31.7K | $20.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-15 | 2002 · 95k mi | $12.7K–$33.5K | $16.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-14 | 2000 · 42k mi | $17.5K–$46.1K | $26.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-13 | 2000 · 29k mi | $19.2K–$50.6K | $40.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-13 | 2000 · 44k mi | $17.3K–$45.5K | $35.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-09 | 2002 · 32k mi | $18.8K–$49.4K | $27.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-07 | 2001 · 86k mi | $13.3K–$35.0K | $29.3K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1999 · 91k mi | classic | $11.3K–$38.8K ($20.9K) |
| open | 2000 · 18k mi | classic | $18.5K–$63.6K ($34.4K) |
| open | 2000 · 25k mi | classic | $17.5K–$60.1K ($32.5K) |
| open | 2000 · 28k mi | classic | $17.1K–$58.7K ($31.7K) |
| open | 2000 · 55k mi | classic | $14.0K–$48.2K ($26.0K) |
| open | 2001 · 64k mi | classic | $13.3K–$45.7K ($24.7K) |
| open | 2001 · 69k mi | classic | $12.9K–$44.3K ($23.9K) |
| open | 2000 · 117k mi | ebay | $10.4K–$35.6K ($19.2K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 51% |
| 12 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 49% |
| 24 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 60% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 9 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2018
$100K invested 2018-01 → today (8.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.57). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 41 | 62 | 48 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 60 | 59 | 38 |
| Toyota AE86 | 69 | 70 | 1 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 59 | 40 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 52 | 50 | 26 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 46 | 83 | 62 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 71 | 36 | 50 |
| Honda Civic Type R (FK8) | 36 | 74 | 59 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-21,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,901 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,901 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.