Nissan 240SX
Given the thin data state, this market outlook for the Nissan 240SX should be considered low-confidence, with current signals showing an overvaluation score of 68.92. The 6-month forecast points to a down direction with a 0.51 probability in a volatile regime, with the High-Yield Bond Spread acting as the strongest leading indicator at a -0.71 correlation over 3 months.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 32 yr, 89k mi example, ~$14.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 75% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 36 scored forecasts: 75% got the direction right, median value error ±15%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 99 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 1997 · 38k mi | $11.2K–$29.5K | $26.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-16 | 1990 · 134k mi | $8.1K–$21.3K | $11.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-04 | 1992 · 186k mi | $7.8K–$20.6K | $15.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-30 | 1989 · 209k mi | $7.7K–$20.3K | $11.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-30 | 1989 · 250k mi | $6.1K–$20.8K | $11.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | 1992 · 39k mi | $11.3K–$29.8K | $14.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-20 | 1998 · 78k mi | $9.4K–$24.8K | $19.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-14 | 1998 · 85k mi | $9.1K–$24.0K | $26.0K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1992 · 117k mi | ebay | $7.0K–$24.1K ($13.0K) |
| open | 1992 · 189k mi | ebay | $6.7K–$23.2K ($12.5K) |
| open | 1992 · 117k mi | ebay | $7.1K–$24.6K ($13.3K) |
| open | 1991 · 200k mi | classic | $6.8K–$23.4K ($12.6K) |
| open | 1995 | ebay | $7.8K–$26.7K ($14.4K) |
| open | 1995 · 207k mi | ebay | $6.5K–$22.4K ($12.1K) |
| open | 1997 · 72k mi | classic | $8.1K–$27.7K ($15.0K) |
| open | 1992 · 0k mi | classic | $12.3K–$42.1K ($22.7K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 64% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 75% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 46% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 51% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and S&P 500, though Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-04 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.45). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 60 | 59 | 38 |
| Toyota AE86 | 69 | 70 | 1 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 51 | 52 | 53 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 59 | 40 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 52 | 50 | 26 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 46 | 83 | 62 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 71 | 36 | 50 |
| Honda Civic Type R (FK8) | 36 | 74 | 59 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-10,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-10,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-10,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.