Nissan 240SX
Due to a thin data state, this market outlook for the Nissan 240SX is low-confidence. Current signals point to high overvaluation at 73.71 and a depreciation risk of 59.62, with forecasts suggesting a potential downward trend over the next 6 to 24 months with probabilities ranging from 0.51 to 0.47, all within a volatile regime. The High-Yield Bond Spread, with a correlation of -0.71 leading by 3 months, is identified as the strongest leading indicator.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 33 yr, 85k mi example, ~$15.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 73% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 37 scored forecasts: 73% got the direction right, median value error ±14%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 101 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±22%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 1992 · 40k mi | $9.7K–$25.5K | $25.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-28 | 1990 · 186k mi | $7.8K–$20.7K | $13.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-30 | 1997 · 38k mi | $9.9K–$26.0K | $26.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-16 | 1990 · 134k mi | $8.6K–$22.7K | $11.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-30 | 1991 · 93k mi | $7.2K–$24.8K | $12.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-30 | 1989 · 209k mi | $7.6K–$20.1K | $11.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-30 | 1989 · 250k mi | $6.1K–$20.8K | $11.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | 1992 · 39k mi | $9.8K–$25.9K | $14.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1995 · 0k mi | ebay | $17.1K–$58.5K ($31.6K) |
| open | 1995 · 0k mi | ebay | $17.1K–$58.6K ($31.7K) |
| open | 1995 · 0k mi | ebay | $14.2K–$48.7K ($26.3K) |
| open | 1992 · 117k mi | ebay | $7.1K–$24.6K ($13.3K) |
| open | 1995 | ebay | $7.8K–$26.7K ($14.4K) |
| open | 1995 · 207k mi | ebay | $6.5K–$22.4K ($12.1K) |
| open | 1997 · 72k mi | classic | $8.1K–$27.7K ($15.0K) |
| open | 1998 · 190k mi | classic | $6.5K–$22.2K ($12.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 65% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 73% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 56% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 23% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and VIX Volatility Index, though VIX Volatility Index points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-04 → today (5.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.56). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 64 | 46 | 43 |
| Toyota AE86 | 60 | 59 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 51 | 52 | 53 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 60 | 40 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 63 | 42 | 21 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 59 | 57 | 60 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 72 | 31 | 55 |
| Honda Civic Type R (FK8) | 31 | 71 | 50 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$8,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$8,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,000 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=6.1)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.