BUILDINGStill gathering enough sold history to call this market.
Fair value$55.0K ($35.1K–$73.7K)
Typical ask$49.1K
Recent sold—
12-mo outlookSlightly up · 6-in-10 up
ConfidenceModerate
Buyer: Too few confirmed sales to anchor a fair price yet — treat the number as a rough guide.
Seller: Thin sold history here — comparable sales are limited; price conservatively.
Watcher: Not enough confirmed sales yet — worth a watch as data accrues.
Showing appreciation momentum: sale prices +5.3%/mo, and +43% vs 12-mo avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 16 yr, 28k mi example, ~$55.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 53 confirmed sales·62 months tracked·since 2021-05·48 active listings
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2008 · 74k mi
classic
$31.4K–$108K ($58.2K)
open
2008 · 20k mi
classic
$31.4K–$108K ($58.2K)
open
2008 · 75k mi
classic
$31.4K–$108K ($58.2K)
open
2008 · 15k mi
classic
$31.4K–$108K ($58.2K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
52%
Low
—
12 mo
UP
55%
Low
—
24 mo
UP
59%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-05 → today (5.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $97.9K━ S&P 500 $198K━ Gold $240K━ Luxury $82.1K━ Housing $129K₿ Bitcoin $185K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Honda S2000 CR (AP2) roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 21% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 51% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-24%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 13 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.91). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 10 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.91). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda S2000 CR (AP2)┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +10mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.90). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
PCE Price Index leads by about 15 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.90). Shown shifted forward 15 months so its turns line up with the market's.
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 14 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 13 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.86). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Gold (futures) leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
new-listing velocity 14% of activenew listing velocity
26% relistedlisting reappearance rate
Current Inventory Snapshot
Active priced listings48
Median fair value$29,582
Avg deal score57/100
Recent Signals & Alerts
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$12,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$12,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$47,400 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$16,107 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$47,400 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.