Tracking 0 sales in the last 90 days. We'll publish a confident 12-month outlook once 5 more sales close — at this market's typical pace, that's roughly ~3.3 years.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 33 yr, 7k mi example, ~$15.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
$100K invested 2017-06 → today (9.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $233K━ S&P 500 $327K━ Gold $331K━ Luxury $272K━ Housing $172K₿ Bitcoin ×24 (off-scale)
Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Toyota MR2 (SW20) roughly 2.3×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.7× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 29% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It beat housing (+36%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
6
Undervaluation
20
Liquidity
60
Speculation Opportunity
20
Depreciation Risk
57
inventory +2%inventory trend slope
asking trend -0.7%/momedian asking trend slope
3% of listings cutting priceprice drop frequency
0% relistedlisting reappearance rate
new-listing velocity 3% of activenew listing velocity
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
