Mazda RX-7 (FD)
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 99%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 30 yr, 53k mi example, ~$36.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 37% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 43 scored forecasts: 37% got the direction right, median value error ±39%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 238 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±22%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | 2002 · 30k mi | $26.8K–$70.5K | $48.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-24 | 1993 · 31k mi | $26.6K–$70.1K | $34.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-20 | 1993 · 71k mi | $20.7K–$54.5K | $35.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 2002 · 43k mi | $24.5K–$64.4K | $43.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-15 | 1993 · 57k mi | $21.8K–$57.3K | $29.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-12 | 2002 · 49k mi | $23.1K–$60.8K | $63.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-11 | 1993 · 87k mi | $20.6K–$54.2K | $43.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-09 | 1994 · 88k mi | $20.6K–$54.2K | $42.3K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1993 · 56k mi | BaT | $19.0K–$65.4K ($35.3K) |
| open | 1993 · 122k mi | ebay | $16.5K–$56.6K ($30.5K) |
| open | 1993 · 74k mi | BaT | $18.0K–$61.9K ($33.4K) |
| open | 1993 · 86k mi | ebay | $18.0K–$61.8K ($33.3K) |
| open | 1994 · 61k mi | classic | $18.4K–$63.3K ($34.2K) |
| open | 1993 | BaT | $19.6K–$67.6K ($36.4K) |
| open | 1993 · 59k mi | classic | $18.7K–$64.7K ($34.8K) |
| open | 1995 | classic | $19.1K–$65.5K ($35.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 45% | Low | 55% |
| 12 mo | UP | 45% | Low | 37% |
| 24 mo | UP | 44% | Low | 19% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. 10-Year Treasury Yield has historically led it by about 22 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 74% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 10-Year Treasury Yield and Advance Retail Sales, though Advance Retail Sales points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 37 | 75 | 44 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 59 | 70 | 39 |
| Toyota AE86 | 79 | 94 | 61 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 52 | 51 | 53 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 60 | 39 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 50 | 58 | 24 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 37 | 98 | 50 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 75 | 36 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.6)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,900 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.8)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,900 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.