Mazda RX-7 (FD)
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 99%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 31 yr, 53k mi example, ~$38.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 36% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 44 scored forecasts: 36% got the direction right, median value error ±31%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 245 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±21%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | 1993 · 65k mi | $21.1K–$55.7K | $38.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-04 | 1993 · 78k mi | $20.5K–$54.2K | $51.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-30 | 1994 · 55k mi | $22.0K–$58.1K | $54.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-14 | 1994 · 123k mi | $18.6K–$49.1K | $39.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-09 | 1994 · 16k mi | $30.1K–$79.4K | $42.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-07 | 1993 · 56k mi | $21.8K–$57.6K | $23.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-01 | 1993 · 74k mi | $20.4K–$53.9K | $38.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 2002 · 30k mi | $26.2K–$69.2K | $48.4K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1994 · 23k mi | ebay | $26.3K–$90.1K ($48.7K) |
| open | 1993 | C&B | $21.1K–$72.3K ($39.0K) |
| open | 1994 · 23k mi | ebay | $26.0K–$89.3K ($48.2K) |
| open | 1994 · 23k mi | ebay | $26.1K–$89.7K ($48.4K) |
| open | 2001 · 84k mi | classic | $18.1K–$62.1K ($33.5K) |
| open | 1996 · 106k mi | classic | $17.2K–$59.0K ($31.8K) |
| open | 1997 · 73k mi | classic | $17.8K–$61.3K ($33.0K) |
| open | 1997 · 15k mi | classic | $25.4K–$87.1K ($47.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 45% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | UP | 44% | Low | 36% |
| 24 mo | UP | 43% | Low | 22% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Core CPI (ex food/energy) has historically led it by about 20 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Core CPI (ex food/energy) and M2 Money Supply.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.62). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 41 | 58 | 39 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 64 | 51 | 45 |
| Toyota AE86 | 65 | 61 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 50 | 52 | 51 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 59 | 39 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 66 | 44 | 22 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 53 | 62 | 60 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 70 | 33 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,975 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,975 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,975 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=5.6)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.