Mazda RX-7 FC
Flagged undervalued because asking -12% vs historic sold, sell-through 95%, -31% vs 2-yr avg, and -29% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 36 yr, 65k mi example, ~$11.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 60% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 43 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±27%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 132 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±43%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 1986 · 193k mi | $5.7K–$14.8K | $8.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-30 | 1988 · 37k mi | $10.0K–$26.3K | $15.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-28 | 1990 · 85k mi | $5.8K–$15.2K | $5.6K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-21 | 1986 · 84k mi | $5.8K–$15.3K | $9.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-06 | 1988 · 35k mi | $10.3K–$27.1K | $7.1K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-22 | 1988 · 48k mi | $8.2K–$28.1K | $19.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-20 | 1988 · 45k mi | $9.5K–$24.8K | $7.6K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-10 | 1988 · 44k mi | $9.6K–$25.1K | $10.1K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1988 | hagerty | $6.2K–$21.2K ($11.4K) |
| open | 1987 · 0k mi | ebay | $10.8K–$37.1K ($20.0K) |
| open | 1988 · 45k mi | classic | $6.5K–$22.3K ($12.0K) |
| open | 1988 · 111k mi | classic | $5.2K–$17.8K ($9.6K) |
| open | 1987 · 114k mi | classic | $5.2K–$18.1K ($9.8K) |
| open | 1988 · 101k mi | ebay | $5.0K–$17.3K ($9.3K) |
| open | 1987 | classic | $7.5K–$25.8K ($13.9K) |
| open | 1991 · 17k mi | classic | $12.8K–$43.9K ($23.7K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 61% |
| 12 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 60% |
| 24 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 48% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 9 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 76% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by VIX Volatility Index and Silver, though Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-07 → today (14.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 33 | 57 | 35 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 61 | 49 | 43 |
| Toyota AE86 | 61 | 62 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 51 | 51 | 50 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 59 | 38 | 51 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 65 | 42 | 24 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 49 | 61 | 60 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 70 | 32 | 57 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,500 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,500 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=609.9)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,500 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.