Nissan Skyline (R33)
Flagged undervalued because asking -33% vs historic sold, inventory -0%, and sell-through 97%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 28 yr, 64k mi example, ~$40.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 60% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 42 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±25%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 171 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±39%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 1995 · 69k mi | $23.5K–$62.1K | $52.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-05 | 1994 · 58k mi | $25.0K–$66.1K | $27.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-27 | 1997 · 21k mi | $30.6K–$80.9K | $16.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-16 | 1994 · 93k mi | $21.3K–$56.1K | $23.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-11 | 1995 · 9k mi | $34.6K–$119K | $78.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-08 | 1995 · 43k mi | $27.2K–$71.7K | $275K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | 1996 · 67k mi | $22.5K–$59.4K | $58.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-21 | 1998 · 60k mi | $25.6K–$67.5K | $42.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1995 · 116k mi | BaT | $18.9K–$64.6K ($34.9K) |
| open | 1996 | C&B | $21.6K–$74.0K ($39.9K) |
| open | 1995 · 14k mi | classic | $30.8K–$105K ($56.8K) |
| open | 1997 · 8k mi | classic | $35.1K–$120K ($65.0K) |
| open | 1995 · 90k mi | classic | $19.8K–$68.1K ($36.8K) |
| open | 1998 · 92k mi | classic | $19.8K–$67.9K ($36.7K) |
| open | 1995 · 102k mi | classic | $19.3K–$66.2K ($35.7K) |
| open | 1998 · 109k mi | classic | $18.9K–$64.8K ($35.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 50% | Low | 65% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 50% | Low | 60% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 57% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Initial Jobless Claims has historically led it by about 9 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-04 → today (5.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Initial Jobless Claims leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.45). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 41 | 58 | 39 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 64 | 51 | 45 |
| Toyota AE86 | 65 | 61 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 50 | 52 | 51 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 59 | 39 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 66 | 44 | 22 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 53 | 62 | 60 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 70 | 33 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-111,067 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.5)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-111,067 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-111,067 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-111,067 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-111,067 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.