Tracking 46 sales in the last 90 days — the modeled signal will appear here on the next nightly rebuild.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 29 yr, 63k mi example, ~$44.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 44 scored forecasts: 50% got the direction right, median value error ±30%.
Track record buildingNot enough graded forecasts yet to show accuracy.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 174 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±38%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-09-16
1996 · 34k mi
$31.2K–$82.5K
$49.0K
✓
2026-09-04
1998 · 30k mi
$31.9K–$84.2K
$61.1K
✓
2026-08-19
1995 · 116k mi
$20.8K–$55.1K
$62.0K
✗
2026-08-16
1995 · 96k mi
$22.4K–$59.2K
$65.5K
✗
2026-08-14
1996 · 58k mi
$25.1K–$66.3K
$858K
✗
2026-08-05
1995 · 69k mi
$23.6K–$62.4K
$52.3K
✓
2026-08-05
1994 · 58k mi
$25.0K–$66.0K
$27.8K
✓
2026-07-27
1997 · 21k mi
$31.5K–$83.2K
$16.5K
✗
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1998 · 50k mi
BaT
$26.3K–$90.9K ($48.9K)
open
1995 · 45k mi
BaT
$27.5K–$94.9K ($51.1K)
open
1996 · 122k mi
ebay
$20.2K–$69.6K ($37.5K)
open
1997 · 8k mi
classic
$35.1K–$120K ($65.0K)
open
1995 · 90k mi
classic
$19.8K–$68.1K ($36.8K)
open
1998 · 92k mi
classic
$19.8K–$67.9K ($36.7K)
open
1995 · 102k mi
classic
$19.3K–$66.2K ($35.7K)
open
1996 · 122k mi
classic
$18.1K–$62.2K ($33.6K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Silver has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE Silver fell 16%. THEREFORE, given its usual 5-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −3% (≈ −$1,230) over the next 5 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.48, 46 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-04 → today (5.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $97.2K━ S&P 500 $202K━ Gold $247K━ Luxury $77.4K━ Housing $135K₿ Bitcoin $134K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Nissan Skyline (R33) roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 22% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 52% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-28%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Silver leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Skyline (R33)┄ Silver, shifted +5mo
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 17 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Skyline (R33)┄ US Regular Gas Price, shifted +17mo
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 14 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Skyline (R33)┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +14mo
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.44). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Skyline (R33)┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +1mo
Initial Jobless Claims leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.44). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
30-Year Mortgage Rate leads by about 5 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.42). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Unemployment Rate leads by about 17 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.41). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Housing Starts leads by about 22 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.41). Shown shifted forward 22 months so its turns line up with the market's.
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-111,067 vs prior
price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.5)
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-111,067 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
