Acura NSX (NA1/NA2)
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 99%, -41% vs 2-yr avg, inventory -0%, and -41% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 32 yr, 52k mi example, ~$89.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 64% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 81 scored forecasts: 64% got the direction right, median value error ±30%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 467 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±18%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 2005 · 39k mi | $54.1K–$143K | $158K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-05 | 1996 · 84k mi | $42.8K–$113K | $95.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | 2000 · 11k mi | $74.4K–$196K | $263K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-03 | 1996 | $44.5K–$153K | $96.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | 1996 · 105k mi | $41.2K–$109K | $90.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | 1991 · 34k mi | $56.4K–$149K | $77.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | 1991 · 41k mi | $53.2K–$140K | $81.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-27 | 2005 · 66k mi | $45.2K–$119K | $196K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2004 · 33k mi | ebay | $55.8K–$191K ($103K) |
| open | 2004 · 33k mi | ebay | $55.9K–$192K ($104K) |
| open | 1991 · 80k mi | classic | $42.2K–$144K ($77.9K) |
| open | 1995 · 11k mi | classic | $72.5K–$249K ($134K) |
| open | 2002 · 22k mi | ebay | $59.3K–$204K ($110K) |
| open | 1991 · 78k mi | classic | $37.8K–$130K ($70.0K) |
| open | 1992 | classic | $52.7K–$181K ($97.6K) |
| open | 1991 · 72k mi | hemmings | $44.9K–$154K ($83.2K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 51% |
| 12 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 64% |
| 24 mo | UP | 57% | Low | 78% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-01 → today (13.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.88). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 41 | 58 | 39 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 64 | 51 | 45 |
| Toyota AE86 | 65 | 61 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 50 | 52 | 51 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 59 | 39 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 66 | 44 | 22 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 53 | 62 | 60 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 70 | 33 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-33,112 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-6.4)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-33,112 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.