Acura NSX (NA1/NA2)
Flagged undervalued because inventory -1%, -58% vs 2-yr avg, -58% vs 3-yr trend, and sell-through 100%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 30 yr, 48k mi example, ~$81.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 63% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 80 scored forecasts: 63% got the direction right, median value error ±33%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 457 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±18%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | 1991 · 68k mi | $43.9K–$116K | $86.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 1991 · 39k mi | $56.2K–$148K | $103K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-24 | 1995 · 50k mi | $49.8K–$131K | $116K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-22 | 1995 · 81k mi | $43.0K–$113K | $113K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-21 | 1991 · 56k mi | $47.0K–$124K | $101K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-19 | 1995 · 101k mi | $41.7K–$110K | $86.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-15 | 2001 · 34k mi | $58.8K–$155K | $176K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-04 | 2003 · 25k mi | $65.1K–$171K | $167K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1992 | C&B | $44.1K–$152K ($81.9K) |
| open | 1993 · 64k mi | BaT | $38.4K–$132K ($71.3K) |
| open | 2004 · 33k mi | ebay | $51.8K–$178K ($96.0K) |
| open | 2004 · 33k mi | ebay | $51.7K–$178K ($96.0K) |
| open | 1992 · 37k mi | ebay | $49.6K–$171K ($92.0K) |
| open | 2002 · 54k mi | BaT | $41.5K–$143K ($77.0K) |
| open | 1991 · 68k mi | BaT | $37.6K–$129K ($69.8K) |
| open | 1992 · 37k mi | ebay | $49.4K–$170K ($91.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 52% |
| 12 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 63% |
| 24 mo | UP | 58% | Low | 76% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 50% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by PCE Price Index and Silver, though Bitcoin (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-01 → today (13.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 37 | 75 | 44 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 59 | 70 | 39 |
| Toyota AE86 | 79 | 94 | 61 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 52 | 51 | 53 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 60 | 39 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 50 | 58 | 24 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 37 | 98 | 50 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 75 | 36 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$37,500 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-17,009 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=162.4)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$29,600 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-17,009 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=222.8)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.