Mitsubishi Eclipse GSX

ECLIPSE GSX CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$25.0K ▲ $5.2K (+26.0%)12 mo
WATCHPriced above trend · momentum improving — but volatile.
Supported (limited) · 16 sold + 17 active
Fair value$25.0K ($21.5K–$29.1K)
Typical ask$16.0K
Recent sold$28.5K
Current valueModerate
12-mo trendSlightly up · 6-in-10 up · 60% calls right
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($29k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($29k); momentum is improving.
Watcher: Improving but choppy — not a clean breakout yet.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$15.2Ksells fast
Fair$28.5Krecent comps
List$30.5Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$33.1Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $21.5K · Fair $21.5K–$29.1K · careful above $29.9K

Showing appreciation momentum: sale prices +1.7%/mo, and +13% vs 12-mo avg.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 28 yr, 81k mi example, ~$25.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2022-01 2026-09 $72.3K $1.0K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 48 confirmed sales (48 auction)·68 sales tracked·57 months tracked·since 2022-01·72 active listings

Did our model work? 60% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 10 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±25%.

2021-04 2026-07 $61.2K $6.9K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10

We replayed 36 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±35%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-07-29 1998 · 44k mi $13.3K–$35.2K $33.5K ✓
2026-07-25 1998 · 88k mi $14.1K–$37.2K $27.8K ✓
2026-06-09 1999 · 97k mi $13.9K–$36.8K $35.3K ✓
2026-04-27 1999 · 7k mi $21.9K–$57.8K $55.0K ✓
2026-04-21 1992 · 30k mi $15.3K–$40.3K $26.0K ✓
2026-04-06 1998 · 112k mi $13.9K–$36.7K $23.0K ✓
2026-01-06 1999 · 42k mi $12.1K–$32.0K $46.8K ✗
2025-12-17 1997 · 59k mi $11.0K–$29.1K $17.3K ✓

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 2 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1997 · 75k mi classic $11.6K–$40.0K ($21.5K)
open 1998 · 44k mi classic $11.4K–$39.2K ($21.2K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2022-01 now +24mo $580K $3.1K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 53% Low 69%
12 mo UP 55% Low 60%
24 mo UP 58% Low —

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Initial Jobless Claims has historically led it by about 2 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$24.8K now +2mo 2022-01 $26.1K $14.3K
BECAUSE Initial Jobless Claims fell 1%. THEREFORE, given its usual 2-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −1% (≈ −$206) over the next 2 months. Confidence: High (correlation -0.62, 33 months overlap).

If You’d Bought in 2022

$100K invested 2022-01 → today (4.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$175K$184K$243K$70.1K$119K 2022 2026 291 100
━ This car $175K━ S&P 500 $184K━ Gold $243K━ Luxury $70.1K━ Housing $119K₿ Bitcoin $202K (off-scale)
Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Mitsubishi Eclipse GSX roughly 1.7×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.5× gain). It roughly matched the stock market. It beat housing (+46%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Initial Jobless Claims leads by about 2 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Mitsubishi Eclipse GSX ┄ Initial Jobless Claims, shifted +2mo
2022-01 2026-09

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
53
Undervaluation
28
Liquidity
58
Speculation Opportunity
46
Depreciation Risk
50
Overvaluation
63
inventory +0% inventory trend slope
+26% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
sale prices +1.7%/mo median sale trend slope
+13% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
new-listing velocity 11% of active new listing velocity
11% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
68 days on market median days on market

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings72
Median fair value$22,937
Avg deal score58/100

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Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.