Honda CRX
Flagged undervalued because asking -59% vs historic sold, -49% vs 2-yr avg, -49% vs 3-yr trend, and sell-through 100%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 34 yr, 116k mi example, ~$6.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 42% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 33 scored forecasts: 42% got the direction right, median value error ±96%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 122 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±36%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-16 | 1984 · 126k mi | $8.8K–$23.2K | $8.0K | ✗ |
| 2025-07-10 | 1991 · 83k mi | $8.7K–$22.8K | $23.8K | ✗ |
| 2025-06-09 | 1990 · 192k mi | $6.8K–$18.0K | $18.0K | ✓ |
| 2025-06-06 | 1989 · 87k mi | $8.4K–$22.1K | $22.8K | ✗ |
| 2025-06-01 | 1991 · 206k mi | $6.5K–$17.1K | $21.0K | ✗ |
| 2025-05-30 | 1990 · 58k mi | $8.1K–$21.4K | $33.5K | ✗ |
| 2025-05-09 | 1988 · 187k mi | $6.9K–$18.3K | $12.8K | ✓ |
| 2025-04-20 | 1985 · 68k mi | $7.8K–$20.7K | $12.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1985 · 378k mi | ebay | $2.3K–$7.8K ($4.2K) |
| open | 1988 · 156k mi | BaT | $3.3K–$11.3K ($6.1K) |
| open | 1986 · 278k mi | hemmings | $2.3K–$7.9K ($4.3K) |
| open | 1990 | BaT | $3.7K–$12.7K ($6.9K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 49% |
| 12 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 42% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 33% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Ethereum (USD) has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Advance Retail Sales and 10-Year Treasury Yield.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2019
$100K invested 2019-01 → today (7.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 37 | 75 | 44 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 59 | 70 | 39 |
| Toyota AE86 | 79 | 94 | 61 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 52 | 51 | 53 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 60 | 39 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 50 | 58 | 24 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 37 | 98 | 50 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 75 | 36 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=4.6)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,650 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.