Honda Civic Type R (FL5)

CIVIC TYPE R FL5 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$30.8K 12 mo
UNDERVALUEDUndervalued vs trend.
Ask-supported · 6 sold + 810 active (asks-led)
Fair value$30.8K ($27.1K–$34.5K)
Typical ask$46.9K
Recent sold$42.0K
Current valueModerate
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
Buyer: Prices look low vs trend — a reasonable entry; confirm condition and title.
Seller: Buyers here are value-focused; price near sold comps ($42k) for a timely sale.
Watcher: Mixed signals — interesting but no clear momentum story yet.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$27.1Ksells fast
Fair$42.0Krecent comps
List$44.9Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$48.7Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $27.1K · Fair $27.1K–$34.5K · careful above $48.0K

Given the thin data state, this is a low-confidence read for the Honda Civic Type R (FL5) market. Current signals indicate notable undervaluation and speculation opportunity scores both at 65.69, alongside a liquidity score of 61.52. Forecasts suggest a flat market regime across all horizons with a probability of 0.5.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 12k mi example, ~$30.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2025-09 2026-08 $35.1K $28.2K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 6 confirmed sales (5 auction · 1 other)·53 sales tracked·12 months tracked·since 2025-09·2317 active listings

Auction Scorecard live

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2025 C&B $16.8K–$57.5K ($31.0K)
open 2024 · 2k mi classic $26.0K–$88.6K ($48.0K)
open 2024 · 7k mi classic $23.6K–$81.0K ($43.7K)
open 2023 · 6k mi classic $25.6K–$88.2K ($47.6K)
open 2025 · 5k mi classic $27.1K–$93.2K ($50.2K)
open 2025 · 0k mi classic $26.9K–$92.7K ($50.0K)
open 2024 · 42k mi classic $18.0K–$62.0K ($33.4K)
open 2024 · 12k mi classic $22.3K–$77.1K ($41.5K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo FLAT 50% Low
12 mo FLAT 50% Low
24 mo FLAT 50% Low

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2025

$100K invested 2025-09 → today (0.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$95.1K$118K$116K$90.5K$102K 2025 2026 136 100
━ This car $95.1K━ S&P 500 $118K━ Gold $116K━ Luxury $90.5K━ Housing $102K₿ Bitcoin $55.7K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Honda Civic Type R (FL5) roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 7% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 19% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-7%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
55
Undervaluation
62
Liquidity
63
Speculation Opportunity
62
Depreciation Risk
36
Overvaluation
33
inventory -0% inventory trend slope
asking trend -0.0%/mo median asking trend slope
25 days on market median days on market
9% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
6% relisted listing reappearance rate

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings2317
Median fair value$55,290
Avg deal score53/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Nissan 240SX 415839
Mitsubishi 3000GT 645145
Toyota AE86 65610
Honda S2000 (AP1) 505251
Honda S2000 (AP2) 593952
Honda S2000 CR (AP2) 664422
Toyota Celica Supra (A60) 536260
Honda Civic (1996-2001) 703352

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.