Honda Civic Type R (FL5)
Given the thin data state, this is a low-confidence read for the Honda Civic Type R (FL5) market. Current signals indicate notable undervaluation and speculation opportunity scores both at 65.69, alongside a liquidity score of 61.52. Forecasts suggest a flat market regime across all horizons with a probability of 0.5.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 12k mi example, ~$31.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 2 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2025 · 5k mi | classic | $27.1K–$93.2K ($50.2K) |
| open | 2024 · 42k mi | classic | $18.0K–$62.0K ($33.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | — |
| 12 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | — |
| 24 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2025
$100K invested 2025-09 → today (1.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
Economic Drivers
We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan 240SX | 38 | 49 | 28 |
| Mitsubishi 3000GT | 57 | 50 | 46 |
| Toyota AE86 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| Honda S2000 (AP1) | 50 | 55 | 52 |
| Honda S2000 (AP2) | 53 | 55 | 48 |
| Honda S2000 CR (AP2) | 26 | 70 | 55 |
| Toyota Celica Supra (A60) | 19 | 87 | 42 |
| Honda Civic (1996-2001) | 65 | 41 | 60 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-4.9)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=4.0)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-16,200 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-16,200 vs prior
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.5)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.