Honda Civic Type R (FL5)

CIVIC TYPE R FL5 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$30.9K 12 mo
WATCHSupported but limited value · direction not yet callable.
Ask-supported · 5 sold + 912 active (asks-led)
Fair value$30.9K ($27.2K–$34.6K)
Typical ask$47.0K
Recent sold$42.0K
Current valueModerate
12-mo trendNot yet callable
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($42k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($42k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Value is ask-supported; 12-month trend not yet callable — worth a watch.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$27.2Ksells fast
Fair$42.0Krecent comps
List$44.9Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$48.7Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $27.2K · Fair $27.2K–$34.6K · careful above $48.5K

Due to the thin data state and a low confidence score of 0.387, this market outlook for the Honda Civic Type R (FL5) is low-confidence. Current signals indicate a flat market direction with a 0.5 probability across 6, 12, and 24-month horizons, supported by a 42.39 appreciation momentum and 45.42 depreciation risk. Market liquidity is relatively strong at 67.14, while both undervaluation and overvaluation scores are low.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 8k mi example, ~$30.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2025-09 2026-07 $34.8K $28.0K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 5 confirmed sales (5 auction)·26 sales tracked·11 months tracked·since 2025-09·1418 active listings

Auction Scorecard live

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2025 · 1k mi classic $27.0K–$92.7K ($50.0K)
open 2025 · 7k mi classic $24.5K–$84.1K ($45.3K)
open 2023 · 6k mi classic $25.6K–$88.2K ($47.6K)
open 2025 · 5k mi classic $27.1K–$93.2K ($50.2K)
open 2025 · 0k mi classic $26.9K–$92.7K ($50.0K)
open 2024 · 42k mi classic $18.0K–$62.0K ($33.4K)
open 2024 · 12k mi classic $22.3K–$77.1K ($41.5K)
open 2025 · 14k mi classic $21.8K–$75.3K ($40.5K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo FLAT 50% Low
12 mo FLAT 50% Low
24 mo FLAT 50% Low

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
45
Undervaluation
41
Liquidity
61
Speculation Opportunity
41
Depreciation Risk
44
Overvaluation
37
inventory +1% inventory trend slope
asking trend -0.0%/mo median asking trend slope
28 days on market median days on market
6% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
4% relisted listing reappearance rate

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings1418
Median fair value$56,048
Avg deal score51/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Nissan 240SX 377544
Mitsubishi 3000GT 597039
Toyota AE86 799461
Honda S2000 (AP1) 525153
Honda S2000 (AP2) 603952
Honda S2000 CR (AP2) 505824
Toyota Celica Supra (A60) 379850
Honda Civic (1996-2001) 753652

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.