Jeep Grand Cherokee (WK2)
Flagged undervalued because -25% vs 2-yr avg, and inventory +0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 11 yr, 45k mi example, ~$16.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 0% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 7 scored forecasts: 0% got the direction right, median value error ±75%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2021 · 24k mi | ebay | $10.2K–$39.0K ($19.9K) |
| open | 2021 · 31k mi | ebay | $9.4K–$35.9K ($18.3K) |
| open | 2021 · 60k mi | ebay | $8.7K–$33.3K ($17.0K) |
| open | 2021 · 49k mi | ebay | $8.6K–$33.0K ($16.8K) |
| open | 2017 · 68k mi | classic | $8.4K–$32.3K ($16.5K) |
| open | 2019 · 112k mi | ebay | $6.7K–$25.8K ($13.2K) |
| open | 2018 · 115k mi | ebay | $6.6K–$25.3K ($12.9K) |
| open | 2020 · 37k mi | ebay | $8.6K–$33.2K ($16.9K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 60% | Low | 31% |
| 12 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 0% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 66% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. 2-Year Treasury Yield has historically led it by about 19 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2025
$100K invested 2025-07 → today (1.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
2-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 19 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 44 | 57 | 47 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 66 | 33 | 51 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 57 | 53 |
| Subaru Baja | 61 | 58 | 49 |
| BMW F650GS | 41 | 51 | 59 |
| BMW R1250GS | 53 | 33 | 51 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 50 | 29 | 34 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 63 | 62 | 39 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-7,504 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,296 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,595 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,105 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.