BMW R1250GS
Given the thin data state and a confidence score of 0.387, this market read for the BMW R1250GS is low-confidence. Signals indicate a depreciation risk of 63.38, coupled with lower liquidity at 38.66, while undervaluation registers at 54.14. The outlook suggests a flat market direction across 6, 12, and 24-month horizons, each with a 0.5 probability.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 5 yr, 3k mi example, ~$14.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | — |
| 12 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | — |
| 24 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2024
$100K invested 2024-08 → today (2.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
Economic Drivers
We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 50 | 59 | 42 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 33 | 68 | 49 |
| Honda Acty | 51 | 50 | 56 |
| Subaru Baja | 62 | 41 | 53 |
| BMW F650GS | 66 | 25 | 39 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 64 | 36 | 49 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 61 | 50 | 45 |
| Ford Bronco Raptor | 30 | 51 | 32 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=3.0)
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=3.0)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-23.9)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-9.8)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=28.7)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.6)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.