BMW R1250GS

BMW R1250GS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$15.1K ▼ $78 (−0.5%)12 mo
WATCHSupported but limited value.
Auction-supported · 14 sold + 0 active (auction-led)
Fair value$15.1K ($13.3K–$16.9K)
Typical ask—
Recent sold$15.9K
Current valueModerate
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($16k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($16k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Mixed signals — interesting but no clear momentum story yet.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$13.3Ksells fast
Fair$15.9Krecent comps
List$17.0Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$18.4Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $13.3K · Fair $13.3K–$16.9K · careful above $17.4K

Given the thin data state, this market read for the BMW R1250GS is low-confidence, at 0.387. The market presents a depreciation risk score of 70.41, while appreciation momentum is 32.84. Outlooks for 6, 12, and 24 months all signal a flat direction with 0.5 probability within a stable regime.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 5 yr, 3k mi example, ~$15.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2024-08 2026-10 $17.7K $13.4K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 26 confirmed sales (26 auction)·27 sales tracked·27 months tracked·since 2024-08·218 active listings

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo FLAT 50% Low —
12 mo FLAT 50% Low —
24 mo FLAT 50% Low —

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2024

$100K invested 2024-08 → today (2.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$90.9K$142K$164K$63.1K$104K 2024 2026 210 100
━ This car $90.9K━ S&P 500 $142K━ Gold $164K━ Luxury $63.1K━ Housing $104K₿ Bitcoin $138K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The BMW R1250GS roughly 0.9×'d your money (a real 15% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 36% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-12%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
39
Undervaluation
54
Liquidity
49
Speculation Opportunity
38
Depreciation Risk
66
sell-through 100% sell through rate
inventory +0% inventory trend slope
sale prices -2.0%/mo median sale trend slope
new-listing velocity 0% of active new listing velocity
26% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings218
Median fair value$17,930
Avg deal score53/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) 545045
Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 594147
Honda Acty 445157
Subaru Baja 546151
BMW F650GS 89750
Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) 633555
Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) 516141
Ford Bronco Raptor 433742

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.