Ford Bronco (2nd Generation)
The market for the Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) shows probabilities of 0.54 to 0.59 for an upward trend over the next 6 to 24 months, with a consistently volatile regime. Current data indicates low appreciation momentum at 34.92 and low liquidity at 29.85, alongside a notable depreciation risk score of 64.49. The Dow Jones Industrial is the strongest leading indicator with a correlation of 0.82 at a 2-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 46 yr, 43k mi example, ~$40.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 71% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 62 scored forecasts: 71% got the direction right, median value error ±74%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 173 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±31%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | 1978 · 58k mi | $23.0K–$66.8K | $22.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-06 | 1979 · 54k mi | $23.1K–$67.1K | $49.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-30 | 1978 · 5k mi | $28.3K–$82.1K | $54.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-27 | 1978 · 2k mi | $29.3K–$85.1K | $127K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-21 | 1978 · 22k mi | $27.1K–$78.6K | $62.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-10 | 1978 · 2k mi | $29.6K–$85.9K | $25.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-05 | 1979 · 37k mi | $23.6K–$68.7K | $47.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-27 | 1978 · 3k mi | $29.9K–$86.9K | $32.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1978 · 100k mi | ebay | $19.0K–$73.3K ($37.3K) |
| open | 1979 · 44k mi | classic | $20.5K–$78.8K ($40.2K) |
| open | 1979 · 80k mi | BaT | $20.1K–$77.1K ($39.4K) |
| open | 1978 | BaT | $20.7K–$79.7K ($40.7K) |
| open | 1978 · 32k mi | classic | $22.0K–$84.4K ($43.1K) |
| open | 1979 · 0k mi | classic | $25.4K–$97.5K ($49.8K) |
| open | 1978 · 1k mi | ebay | $25.9K–$99.2K ($50.7K) |
| open | 1978 · 13k mi | classic | $21.6K–$83.0K ($42.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 59% |
| 12 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 71% |
| 24 mo | UP | 59% | Low | 70% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2014
$100K invested 2014-12 → today (11.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 10 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 43 | 58 | 46 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 65 | 33 | 52 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 53 | 52 |
| Subaru Baja | 65 | 48 | 51 |
| BMW F650GS | 38 | 48 | 51 |
| BMW R1250GS | 56 | 39 | 50 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 61 | 59 | 37 |
| Ford Bronco Raptor | 41 | 63 | 32 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-5.4)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.2)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.1)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.5)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.6)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.4)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.