Ford Bronco (2nd Generation)
Flagged undervalued because asking -31% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 46 yr, 47k mi example, ~$37.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 57% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 37 scored forecasts: 57% got the direction right, median value error ±27%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 165 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±29%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | 1978 · 3k mi | $28.7K–$82.5K | $32.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-26 | 1978 · 79k mi | $22.4K–$64.2K | $32.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-21 | 1979 · 76k mi | $22.4K–$64.3K | $39.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-19 | 1978 · 22k mi | $26.0K–$74.7K | $73.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | 1979 · 44k mi | $22.2K–$63.7K | $44.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-11 | 1978 · 80k mi | $22.4K–$64.2K | $35.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | 1979 · 2k mi | $28.8K–$82.7K | $57.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-30 | 1979 · 46k mi | $21.7K–$62.2K | $46.8K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1979 · 35k mi | classic | $19.6K–$73.9K ($38.1K) |
| open | 1978 · 54k mi | classic | $19.5K–$73.4K ($37.8K) |
| open | 1979 · 9k mi | ebay | $20.7K–$77.9K ($40.1K) |
| open | 1978 | BaT | $19.1K–$72.1K ($37.1K) |
| open | 1979 · 4k mi | ebay | $23.9K–$90.2K ($46.4K) |
| open | 1978 | BaT | $19.0K–$71.6K ($36.9K) |
| open | 1978 · 96k mi | classic | $18.5K–$69.8K ($35.9K) |
| open | 1979 · 103k mi | ebay | $18.0K–$67.8K ($34.9K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 58% |
| 12 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 57% |
| 24 mo | UP | 59% | Low | 52% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 29% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 2-Year Treasury Yield and Russell 2000 (small cap), though US Metro Mean Temperature points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2014
$100K invested 2014-09 → today (11.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 41 | 67 | 47 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 52 | 60 | 52 |
| Honda Acty | 53 | 43 | 50 |
| Subaru Baja | 53 | 68 | 51 |
| BMW R1250GS | 61 | 36 | 75 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 70 | 38 | 31 |
| Ford Bronco Raptor | 38 | 68 | 33 |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.