Ford Bronco (2nd Generation)
The Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) market exhibits a moderate undervaluation score of 56.34 and a speculation opportunity score of 54.87. Forecasts suggest a slight upward direction with probabilities ranging from 0.54 to 0.59 over the next 6 to 24 months, operating within a volatile regime. The Dow Jones Industrial index is the strongest leading indicator for this market, showing a correlation of 0.82 with a 2-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 46 yr, 42k mi example, ~$36.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 73% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 64 scored forecasts: 73% got the direction right, median value error ±69%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 187 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±30%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1979 · 1k mi | $25.6K–$99.0K | $81.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-29 | 1978 · 100k mi | $22.1K–$64.3K | $36.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | 1979 · 3k mi | $29.6K–$86.1K | $49.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-18 | 1979 · 77k mi | $22.7K–$65.9K | $36.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | 1978 · 56k mi | $23.2K–$67.5K | $26.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-11 | 1979 · 27k mi | $25.9K–$75.4K | $33.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | 1979 · 97k mi | $22.3K–$64.8K | $37.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | 1979 · 36k mi | $25.0K–$72.5K | $45.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1979 · 2k mi | ebay | $22.5K–$88.8K ($44.7K) |
| open | 1979 · 96k mi | BaT | $17.9K–$70.6K ($35.5K) |
| open | 1979 · 2k mi | ebay | $24.2K–$95.6K ($48.1K) |
| open | 1979 · 46k mi | ebay | $19.5K–$76.8K ($38.7K) |
| open | 1979 · 46k mi | ebay | $19.5K–$76.7K ($38.6K) |
| open | 1979 · 2k mi | ebay | $24.4K–$96.4K ($48.5K) |
| open | 1979 · 46k mi | ebay | $19.9K–$78.4K ($39.5K) |
| open | 1979 · 2k mi | ebay | $24.6K–$96.7K ($48.8K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 61% |
| 12 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 73% |
| 24 mo | UP | 59% | Low | 69% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2014
$100K invested 2014-12 → today (11.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 54 | 50 | 45 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 59 | 41 | 47 |
| Honda Acty | 44 | 51 | 57 |
| Subaru Baja | 54 | 61 | 51 |
| BMW F650GS | 89 | 7 | 50 |
| BMW R1250GS | 54 | 39 | 49 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 51 | 61 | 41 |
| Ford Bronco Raptor | 43 | 37 | 42 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,150 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,150 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-10.1)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,150 vs prior
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-6.4)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,150 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.