Honda Acty
The Honda Acty market currently demonstrates moderate liquidity at 57.55, supported by a data confidence of 0.839. WTI Crude Oil is a key leading indicator, showing a 0.74 correlation and a 4-month lead time. Over the next 6 months, a downward direction has a 0.54 probability, with volatility indicated across all forecast horizons.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 29 yr, 45k mi example, ~$7.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 33% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 33 scored forecasts: 33% got the direction right, median value error ±55%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 236 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±29%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 1999 · 68k mi | $4.6K–$13.4K | $5.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | 1999 · 48k mi | $4.5K–$13.1K | $8.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-06 | 1998 · 57k mi | $4.6K–$13.4K | $8.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-01 | 1998 · 22k mi | $4.8K–$14.1K | $8.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-30 | 1993 · 37k mi | $4.5K–$13.1K | $7.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-28 | 1994 · 45k mi | $4.5K–$13.0K | $9.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1995 · 55k mi | $4.6K–$13.4K | $11.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | 1988 · 60k mi | $4.7K–$13.6K | $13.3K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1998 | C&B | $3.9K–$15.1K ($7.6K) |
| open | 1994 · 124k mi | ebay | $3.4K–$13.2K ($6.7K) |
| open | 1994 · 38k mi | ebay | $3.9K–$15.1K ($7.6K) |
| open | 2001 · 55k mi | BaT | $3.9K–$15.4K ($7.8K) |
| open | 1996 | hagerty | $3.8K–$14.9K ($7.5K) |
| open | 1994 · 124k mi | ebay | $3.3K–$12.8K ($6.5K) |
| open | 1994 · 38k mi | ebay | $3.8K–$14.8K ($7.5K) |
| open | 1997 · 53k mi | classic | $3.8K–$14.8K ($7.5K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | 46% |
| 12 mo | UP | 46% | Low | 33% |
| 24 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 19% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. US Regular Gas Price has historically led it by about 6 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by US Regular Gas Price and Personal Savings Rate.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2017
$100K invested 2017-01 → today (9.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 6 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 50 | 59 | 42 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 33 | 68 | 49 |
| Subaru Baja | 62 | 41 | 53 |
| BMW F650GS | 66 | 25 | 39 |
| BMW R1250GS | 53 | 43 | 36 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 64 | 36 | 49 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 61 | 50 | 45 |
| Ford Bronco Raptor | 30 | 51 | 32 |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.