Ford Bronco (U725, 6th Gen)
Flagged undervalued because asking -20% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 6k mi example, ~$42.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 48% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 40 scored forecasts: 48% got the direction right, median value error ±21%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 477 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±22%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | 2023 · 36k mi | $23.0K–$66.6K | $42.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-18 | 2023 · 21k mi | $23.3K–$67.6K | $37.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | 2023 · 6k mi | $26.3K–$76.2K | $141K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-31 | 2022 · 29k mi | $23.4K–$67.8K | $56.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-27 | 2023 · 1k mi | $32.1K–$93.0K | $69.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | 2021 · 37k mi | $23.3K–$67.4K | $40.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 2023 · 0k mi | $34.0K–$98.5K | $241K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-07 | 2024 · 11k mi | $24.0K–$69.7K | $100K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2022 | ebay | $21.5K–$84.5K ($42.6K) |
| open | 2022 · 16k mi | ebay | $20.4K–$80.2K ($40.4K) |
| open | 2023 · 18k mi | BaT | $20.3K–$79.9K ($40.3K) |
| open | 2023 · 55k mi | ebay | $20.1K–$79.2K ($39.9K) |
| open | 2022 · 51k mi | ebay | $20.1K–$78.9K ($39.8K) |
| open | 2021 · 44k mi | ebay | $19.9K–$78.4K ($39.5K) |
| open | 2025 · 43k mi | ebay | $19.9K–$78.2K ($39.5K) |
| open | 2022 · 60k mi | ebay | $20.2K–$79.3K ($40.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 48% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 48% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 46% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 9 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 75% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) and Core CPI (ex food/energy), though 30-Year Mortgage Rate points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-07 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 54 | 53 | 44 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 57 | 42 | 49 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 40 | 56 |
| Subaru Baja | 44 | 68 | 52 |
| BMW F650GS | 86 | 8 | 55 |
| BMW R1250GS | 52 | 33 | 44 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 57 | 49 | 60 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 65 | 39 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,287 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,498 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,641 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,172 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.