Ferrari Testarossa
Flagged undervalued because inventory -1%, sell-through 96%, -16% vs 2-yr avg, and -15% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 36 yr, 24k mi example, ~$183K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 54% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 133 scored forecasts: 54% got the direction right, median value error ±26%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 273 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±15%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 1991 · 8k mi | $153K–$335K | $233K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1989 · 4k mi | $154K–$337K | $523K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1988 · 1k mi | $186K–$406K | $473K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1989 · 16k mi | $132K–$289K | $258K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-11 | 1986 · 28k mi | $113K–$247K | $274K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-29 | 1990 · 4k mi | $153K–$335K | $304K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-22 | 1985 · 40k mi | $103K–$224K | $177K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-09 | 1988 · 31k mi | $109K–$239K | $215K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1990 · 26k mi | classic | $110K–$308K ($184K) |
| open | 1990 · 31k mi | classic | $106K–$297K ($177K) |
| open | 1989 · 27k mi | classic | $111K–$308K ($185K) |
| open | 1988 · 43k mi | classic | $99.9K–$276K ($166K) |
| open | 1991 · 30k mi | classic | $92.3K–$266K ($157K) |
| open | 1990 · 5k mi | classic | $121K–$349K ($205K) |
| open | 1987 · 18k mi | classic | $103K–$297K ($175K) |
| open | 1989 · 43k mi | classic | $85.0K–$245K ($144K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 57% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 54% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 58% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2003
$100K invested 2003-01 → today (23.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
M2 Money Supply leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 44 | 56 | 36 |
| Ferrari 360 | 39 | 70 | 51 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 67 | 56 |
| Ferrari 458 | 45 | 40 | 52 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 2 | 57 | 41 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 77 | 42 |
| Ferrari 488 | 36 | 57 | 45 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 8 | 54 | 44 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-84,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$145,084 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-84,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$145,084 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-84,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$144,999 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.