Ferrari 360
The Ferrari 360 market currently shows strong appreciation momentum at 74.77, alongside a high overvaluation score of 72.59. The market is forecasted to be volatile with a "down" direction for the next 6, 12, and 24 months, holding probabilities of 0.49, 0.47, and 0.46 respectively. The strongest leading indicator is the Case-Shiller National Home Price, which shows a 0.85 correlation.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 22 yr, 22k mi example, ~$97.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 59% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 112 scored forecasts: 59% got the direction right, median value error ±27%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 503 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | 2000 · 25k mi | $57.7K–$126K | $109K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-09 | 2001 · 8k mi | $86.0K–$188K | $295K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | 2003 · 37k mi | $51.3K–$112K | $76.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-03 | 2001 · 23k mi | $58.9K–$129K | $163K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-03 | 2003 · 28k mi | $55.5K–$121K | $65.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-29 | 2001 · 40k mi | $50.9K–$111K | $106K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-26 | 2003 · 16k mi | $72.6K–$158K | $155K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 2004 · 17k mi | $69.8K–$152K | $775K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2004 · 30k mi | classic | $52.7K–$149K ($88.5K) |
| open | 2000 · 34k mi | BaT | $55.1K–$155K ($92.5K) |
| open | 2002 · 11k mi | classic | $94.4K–$266K ($159K) |
| open | 2005 · 24k mi | classic | $60.8K–$171K ($102K) |
| open | 2005 · 17k mi | classic | $67.5K–$190K ($113K) |
| open | 2002 · 24k mi | BaT | $55.6K–$156K ($93.1K) |
| open | 2004 · 11k mi | classic | $92.1K–$259K ($154K) |
| open | 2004 · 14k mi | classic | $78.1K–$219K ($131K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 58% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 59% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 46% | Low | 71% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2010
$100K invested 2010-03 → today (16.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 54 | 58 | 45 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 80 | 54 |
| Ferrari 458 | 44 | 41 | 53 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 6 | 77 | 53 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 67 | 53 |
| Ferrari 488 | 36 | 63 | 48 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 10 | 36 | 47 |
| Ferrari 550/575 Maranello | 36 | 77 | 53 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$26,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-30,000 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=826.1)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-44,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$69,990 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-30,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.