Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS
The outlook for the Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS market is a low-confidence read due to its thin data state. Current signals indicate an appreciating regime with 6 to 24-month forecasts showing an 'up' direction with probabilities from 0.55 to 0.63, alongside an appreciation momentum score of 52.98 and a depreciation risk of 41.26. The strongest leading indicator identified is Silver, which has a correlation of 0.81 over a 21-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 1k mi example, ~$333K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 38 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±15%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | 2023 · 2k mi | $262K–$574K | $273K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-01 | 2024 · 0k mi | $257K–$562K | $332K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-15 | 2024 · 7k mi | $265K–$580K | $197K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-08 | 2024 · 9k mi | $241K–$528K | $268K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-26 | 2025 · 1k mi | $269K–$588K | $374K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-10 | 2024 · 0k mi | $265K–$581K | $306K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | 2023 · 1k mi | $233K–$672K | $316K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | 2023 · 1k mi | $269K–$588K | $316K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2024 · 4k mi | ebay | $207K–$607K ($355K) |
| open | 2024 · 4k mi | ebay | $212K–$619K ($362K) |
| open | 2024 · 4k mi | ebay | $211K–$619K ($362K) |
| open | 2023 · 1k mi | classic | $223K–$629K ($375K) |
| open | 2024 · 0k mi | classic | $222K–$627K ($374K) |
| open | 2023 · 6k mi | classic | $224K–$632K ($376K) |
| open | 2024 · 2k mi | classic | $223K–$630K ($375K) |
| open | 2023 · 2k mi | ebay | $224K–$629K ($375K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 0% |
| 12 mo | UP | 58% | Low | — |
| 24 mo | UP | 63% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2024
$100K invested 2024-09 → today (2.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Silver leads by about 21 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 21 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 360 | 39 | 70 | 51 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 67 | 56 |
| Ferrari 458 | 45 | 40 | 52 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 2 | 57 | 41 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 77 | 42 |
| Ferrari 488 | 36 | 57 | 45 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 8 | 54 | 44 |
| Ferrari 550/575 Maranello | 55 | 48 | 55 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-141,294 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$170,999 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$68,524 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-151,294 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-14.6)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$68,524 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.