GMC Syclone

SYCLONE CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$35.9K ▼ $3.8K (−9.5%)12 mo
COOLINGPriced above trend · momentum cooling — but volatile.
Well supported · 79 sold + 32 active
Fair value$35.9K ($31.6K–$40.3K)
Typical ask$45.0K
Recent sold$38.0K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendSlightly down · 4-in-10 up · 60% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($38k), not asking prices ($45k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$31.6Ksells fast
Fair$38.0Krecent comps
List$40.6Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$50.0Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $31.6K · Fair $31.6K–$40.3K · careful above $50.0K

Flagged undervalued because sell-through 99%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 34 yr, 25k mi example, ~$35.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2011-01 2026-07 $72.6K $4.1K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 230 confirmed sales (229 auction · 1 other)·332 sales tracked·187 months tracked·since 2011-01·39 active listings

Did our model work? 60% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 45 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±40%.

2004-01 2026-07 $123K $6.6K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 65 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±17%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-04-10 1991 · 92k mi $17.3K–$50.3K $17.6K
2026-03-27 1991 · 33k mi $21.7K–$63.2K $34.6K
2026-02-27 1991 · 29k mi $22.2K–$64.7K $28.3K
2026-01-25 1991 · 16k mi $25.2K–$73.2K $47.3K
2025-11-13 1991 · 13k mi $27.5K–$80.0K $46.5K
2025-10-24 1991 · 37k mi $22.1K–$64.2K $43.9K
2025-10-03 1991 · 32k mi $22.6K–$65.7K $31.8K
2025-09-29 1991 · 148k mi $18.1K–$52.8K $22.5K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1991 · 43k mi classic $17.3K–$66.4K ($33.9K)
open 1991 · 114k mi ebay $14.4K–$55.1K ($28.1K)
open 1991 · 64k mi classic $16.1K–$61.9K ($31.6K)
open 1991 · 53k mi classic $16.5K–$62.1K ($32.0K)
open 1991 · 92k mi classic $13.5K–$50.8K ($26.1K)
open 1991 · 57k mi classic $15.2K–$57.4K ($29.6K)
open 1991 · 66k mi classic $14.7K–$55.3K ($28.5K)
open 1991 · 124k mi classic $13.0K–$49.0K ($25.2K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2011-01 now +24mo $68.5K $942
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 56% Low 55%
12 mo DOWN 58% Low 60%
24 mo DOWN 60% Low 73%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Real Disposable Income per Capita and Silver.

⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
now +12mo (indicators) $56.7K $13.9K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

Real Disposable Inco+1.3Silver+1.7Personal Savings Rat+2.310Y-2Y Yield Spread+1.7Unemployment Rate+1.5Trade-Weighted Dolla+0.8S&P 500+1.3Ethereum (USD)+1.5 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2011

$100K invested 2011-01 → today (15.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$165K$768K$308K$716K$237K 2011 2026 1117 100
━ This car $165K━ S&P 500 $768K━ Gold $308K━ Luxury $716K━ Housing $237K
Roughly tracked inflation — flat in real terms. The GMC Syclone roughly 1.7×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.1× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 78% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-30%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 24 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.68). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ GMC Syclone ┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +24mo
2011-01 2026-07

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
69
Undervaluation
27
Liquidity
49
Speculation Opportunity
44
Depreciation Risk
46
Overvaluation
74
+123% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
+117% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
inventory +1% inventory trend slope
+78% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices +2.9%/mo median sale trend slope
sell-through 99% sell through rate
new-listing velocity 3% of active new listing velocity
15% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings39
Median fair value$33,421
Avg deal score54/100

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Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.