GMC Syclone

SYCLONE CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$36.2K ▼ $3.8K (−9.5%)12 mo
COOLINGPriced above trend · momentum cooling — but volatile.
Well supported · 96 sold + 19 active
Fair value$36.2K ($30.8K–$40.6K)
Typical ask$40.0K
Recent sold$39.5K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendSlightly down · 4-in-10 up · 64% calls right
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($40k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($40k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$30.8Ksells fast
Fair$39.5Krecent comps
List$42.3Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$53.3Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $30.8K · Fair $30.8K–$40.6K · careful above $66.4K

Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%, and sell-through 98%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 34 yr, 27k mi example, ~$36.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2011-01 2026-08 $72.6K $4.1K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 234 confirmed sales (232 auction · 2 other)·345 sales tracked·188 months tracked·since 2011-01·49 active listings

Did our model work? 64% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 45 scored forecasts: 64% got the direction right, median value error ±37%.

2004-01 2026-08 $112K $6.0K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 66 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±16%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-07-24 1991 · 43k mi $17.3K–$66.4K $35.5K
2026-07-17 1991 $18.3K–$70.4K $28.3K
2026-07-17 1991 · 114k mi $16.4K–$47.7K $26.4K
2026-04-10 1991 · 92k mi $17.1K–$49.8K $17.6K
2026-03-27 1991 · 33k mi $22.9K–$66.5K $34.6K
2026-02-27 1991 · 29k mi $23.8K–$69.3K $28.3K
2026-01-25 1991 · 16k mi $26.8K–$77.8K $47.3K
2025-11-13 1991 · 13k mi $27.6K–$80.4K $46.5K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 2 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1991 · 53k mi classic $16.5K–$62.1K ($32.0K)
open 1991 · 124k mi classic $13.0K–$49.0K ($25.2K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2011-01 now +24mo $50.0K $968
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 56% Low 61%
12 mo DOWN 58% Low 64%
24 mo DOWN 60% Low 85%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 77% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and 10-Year Treasury Yield, though Case-Shiller Home Price points the other way.

⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
now +12mo (indicators) $60.2K $13.9K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

Silver+1.510-Year Treasury Yie+3.0Ethereum (USD)+1.0WTI Crude Oil+3.0Personal Savings Rat+0.7Advance Retail Sales+1.4Trade-Weighted Dolla+1.5Case-Shiller Home P-1.1 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2011

$100K invested 2011-01 → today (15.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$171K$796K$335K$704K$241K 2011 2026 1117 100
━ This car $171K━ S&P 500 $796K━ Gold $335K━ Luxury $704K━ Housing $241K
Roughly tracked inflation — flat in real terms. The GMC Syclone roughly 1.7×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.1× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 79% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-29%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 24 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ GMC Syclone ┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +24mo
2011-01 2026-08

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
72
Undervaluation
30
Liquidity
53
Speculation Opportunity
45
Depreciation Risk
40
Overvaluation
76
+155% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
+153% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
inventory -0% inventory trend slope
+128% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sell-through 98% sell through rate
new-listing velocity 0% of active new listing velocity
5% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings49
Median fair value$33,114
Avg deal score54/100

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Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.