Tracking 3 sales in the last 90 days. We'll publish a confident 12-month outlook once 2 more sales close — at this market's typical pace, that's roughly ~2 months.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 33 yr, 131k mi example, ~$15.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
$100K invested 2025-04 → today (1.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $63.2K━ S&P 500 $134K━ Gold $124K━ Luxury $106K━ Housing $100K₿ Bitcoin $66.6K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Ford F-150 SVT Lightning (Gen 1, 1993-1995) roughly 0.6×'d your money (a real 39% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 53% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-37%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
96
Undervaluation
82
Liquidity
78
Speculation Opportunity
82
Depreciation Risk
23
inventory -1%inventory trend slope
asking trend +0.4%/momedian asking trend slope
new-listing velocity 14% of activenew listing velocity
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
