Jeep Cherokee (SJ)
Flagged undervalued because -53% vs 2-yr avg, and -57% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 46 yr, 71k mi example, ~$21.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 65% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 23 scored forecasts: 65% got the direction right, median value error ±65%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 40 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±37%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 1979 · 84k mi | $11.9K–$34.4K | $12.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | 1975 · 64k mi | $12.9K–$37.5K | $22.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 1979 · 3k mi | $18.6K–$54.0K | $315K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-05 | 1979 · 34k mi | $10.9K–$31.5K | $33.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-08 | 1983 · 83k mi | $12.4K–$36.0K | $18.7K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-12 | 1982 · 93k mi | $12.3K–$35.6K | $19.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-02-27 | 1983 · 37k mi | $11.1K–$32.1K | $23.3K | ✓ |
| 2025-08-12 | 1980 · 69k mi | $10.6K–$30.7K | $23.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 5 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1975 | ebay | $10.0K–$38.9K ($19.7K) |
| open | 1979 · 192k mi | classic | $7.3K–$28.3K ($14.4K) |
| open | 1978 | classic | $10.0K–$37.6K ($19.3K) |
| open | 1982 | classic | $10.0K–$37.6K ($19.3K) |
| open | 1979 · 230k mi | hemmings | $6.9K–$26.1K ($13.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 69% |
| 12 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 65% |
| 24 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 55% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Housing Starts has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2015
$100K invested 2015-07 → today (11.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.42). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 54 | 53 | 44 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 57 | 42 | 49 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 40 | 56 |
| Subaru Baja | 44 | 68 | 52 |
| BMW F650GS | 86 | 8 | 55 |
| BMW R1250GS | 52 | 33 | 44 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 57 | 49 | 60 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 65 | 39 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,900 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=4.7)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,900 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.9)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.