Land Rover Series 88
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 48 yr, 36k mi example, ~$20.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 49% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 43 scored forecasts: 49% got the direction right, median value error ±28%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 309 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±32%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 1978 · 0k mi | $14.4K–$41.6K | $22.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-06 | 1981 · 1k mi | $12.7K–$36.7K | $50.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-29 | 1972 · 21k mi | $12.3K–$35.6K | $33.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1977 · 20k mi | $12.2K–$35.4K | $252K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-07 | 1972 · 49k mi | $10.6K–$30.9K | $23.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | 1973 · 63k mi | $10.5K–$30.3K | $31.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-14 | 1974 · 2k mi | $10.6K–$30.8K | $13.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-13 | 1983 · 35k mi | $11.4K–$33.1K | $11.6K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1981 | classic | $9.7K–$37.5K ($19.1K) |
| open | 1979 · 0k mi | classic | $12.6K–$48.3K ($24.7K) |
| open | 1976 · 55k mi | classic | $10.1K–$38.7K ($19.8K) |
| open | 1975 · 2k mi | classic | $9.7K–$37.3K ($19.0K) |
| open | 1981 · 7k mi | classic | $9.3K–$35.1K ($18.1K) |
| open | 1978 · 7k mi | classic | $9.3K–$35.1K ($18.1K) |
| open | 1948 · 0k mi | classic | $14.1K–$53.3K ($27.4K) |
| open | 1979 · 1k mi | classic | $11.3K–$42.7K ($22.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 71% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 49% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 53% | Low | 52% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Housing Starts has historically led it by about 2 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 23% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Housing Starts and PCE Price Index, though Housing Starts points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.53). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 54 | 53 | 44 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 57 | 42 | 49 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 40 | 56 |
| Subaru Baja | 44 | 68 | 52 |
| BMW F650GS | 86 | 8 | 55 |
| BMW R1250GS | 52 | 33 | 44 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 57 | 49 | 60 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 65 | 39 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=18.9)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-15.6)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-16.3)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=5.8)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=4.7)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-5.5)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.