Dodge Ram (1994-2001)
Flagged undervalued because asking -63% vs historic sold, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 27 yr, 90k mi example, ~$10.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 55% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 67 scored forecasts: 55% got the direction right, median value error ±33%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 360 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±36%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | 2001 · 144k mi | $6.4K–$18.5K | $34.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-29 | 2000 · 57k mi | $7.4K–$21.4K | $26.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-21 | 2000 · 59k mi | $7.4K–$21.6K | $7.4K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-19 | 2001 · 32k mi | $7.3K–$21.1K | $16.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-12 | 1995 · 172k mi | $6.4K–$18.7K | $15.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-08 | 2001 · 77k mi | $7.2K–$20.8K | $31.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-03 | 1996 · 72k mi | $7.4K–$21.4K | $19.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-03 | 1995 · 68k mi | $7.6K–$22.0K | $10.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2001 · 145k mi | ebay | $5.1K–$19.8K ($10.1K) |
| open | 1998 · 154k mi | ebay | $5.1K–$19.6K ($9.9K) |
| open | 2001 · 66k mi | BaT | $5.9K–$22.7K ($11.6K) |
| open | 2001 · 167k mi | classic | $5.0K–$19.4K ($9.9K) |
| open | 2000 · 238k mi | ebay | $4.2K–$16.4K ($8.3K) |
| open | 2001 · 300k mi | ebay | $4.2K–$16.3K ($8.3K) |
| open | 1994 · 49k mi | classic | $5.5K–$21.1K ($10.7K) |
| open | 1998 · 137k mi | classic | $5.3K–$20.3K ($10.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 63% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 55% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 46% | Low | 65% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Silver has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 79% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and 30-Year Mortgage Rate, though Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-07 → today (14.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 6 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.68). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 43 | 58 | 46 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 65 | 33 | 52 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 53 | 52 |
| Subaru Baja | 65 | 48 | 51 |
| BMW F650GS | 38 | 48 | 51 |
| BMW R1250GS | 56 | 39 | 50 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 53 | 34 | 29 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 61 | 59 | 37 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-2,724 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.