Dodge Ram (1994-2001)
Flagged undervalued because asking -54% vs historic sold, -5% vs 2-yr avg, -3% vs 3-yr trend, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 27 yr, 90k mi example, ~$10.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 63% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 70 scored forecasts: 63% got the direction right, median value error ±25%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 370 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±37%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 1997 · 61k mi | $6.0K–$17.4K | $42.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-30 | 2001 · 65k mi | $5.9K–$17.2K | $8.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | 2001 · 93k mi | $6.1K–$17.8K | $12.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-16 | 1998 · 7k mi | $8.8K–$25.6K | $25.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-15 | 1996 · 41k mi | $6.3K–$18.3K | $9.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-09 | 1999 · 53k mi | $6.1K–$17.7K | $14.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | 1996 · 34k mi | $6.6K–$19.3K | $32.3K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-04 | 1997 · 12k mi | $7.9K–$22.9K | $30.3K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1998 · 148k mi | BaT | $5.1K–$20.1K ($10.1K) |
| open | 1999 · 193k mi | ebay | $4.4K–$17.5K ($8.8K) |
| open | 1998 · 327k mi | ebay | $3.9K–$15.6K ($7.8K) |
| open | 2000 · 152k mi | ebay | $5.0K–$19.8K ($10.0K) |
| open | 1995 · 197k mi | ebay | $4.4K–$17.3K ($8.7K) |
| open | 2001 · 121k mi | classic | $5.1K–$19.7K ($10.0K) |
| open | 1999 · 214k mi | classic | $4.4K–$17.1K ($8.7K) |
| open | 2001 · 167k mi | classic | $5.0K–$19.4K ($9.9K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 50% | Low | 67% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 63% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 60% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-07 → today (14.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 5 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 54 | 50 | 45 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 59 | 41 | 47 |
| Honda Acty | 44 | 51 | 57 |
| Subaru Baja | 54 | 61 | 51 |
| BMW F650GS | 89 | 7 | 50 |
| BMW R1250GS | 54 | 39 | 49 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 63 | 35 | 55 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 51 | 61 | 41 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-33,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,100 vs prior
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.3)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-33,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,095 vs prior
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.3)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.