Blended value of a standard 35 yr, 1k mi example, ~$1084K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 1 scored forecasts: 0% got the direction right, median value error ±27%.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 5 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1992 · 1k mi
classic
$687K–$1910K ($1146K)
open
1990 · 0k mi
classic
$129K–$391K ($224K)
open
1993 · 0k mi
classic
$128K–$369K ($218K)
open
1990
classic
$98.9K–$285K ($168K)
open
1989 · 1k mi
classic
$113K–$325K ($191K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
DOWN
52%
Low
57%
12 mo
UP
50%
Low
0%
24 mo
UP
53%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. CPI (All Urban Consumers) has historically led it by about 6 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE CPI (All Urban Consumers) rose 2%. THEREFORE, given its usual 6-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −5% (≈ −$58,912) over the next 6 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.73, 22 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-06 → today (5.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $108K━ S&P 500 $192K━ Gold $230K━ Luxury $84.6K━ Housing $127K₿ Bitcoin $184K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Porsche Singer roughly 1.1×'d your money (a real 13% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 44% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-16%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 6 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche Singer┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +3mo
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche Singer┄ Core CPI (ex food/energy), shifted +5mo
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 15 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.60). Shown shifted forward 15 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche Singer┄ US Regular Gas Price, shifted +15mo
Initial Jobless Claims leads by about 20 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
WTI Crude Oil leads by about 22 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.57). Shown shifted forward 22 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche Singer┄ WTI Crude Oil, shifted +22mo
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 15 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.55). Shown shifted forward 15 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche Singer┄ US Regular Gas Price, shifted +15mo
Unemployment Rate leads by about 6 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.52). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche Singer┄ Unemployment Rate, shifted +6mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
53
Undervaluation
48
Liquidity
52
Speculation Opportunity
50
Depreciation Risk
45
Overvaluation
54
asking +19% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
sell-through 100%sell through rate
inventory +0%inventory trend slope
asking trend +0.1%/momedian asking trend slope
0% of listings cutting priceprice drop frequency
new-listing velocity 0% of activenew listing velocity
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$199,980 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$199,980 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$199,980 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$199,980 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$199,980 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$199,980 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.