Porsche Singer

PORSCHE SINGER CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$168K ▼ $94.4K (−36.0%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEPriced above trend — but volatile.
Fair value$168K ($148K–$188K)
Typical ask$1300K
Recent sold$205K
12-mo outlookRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
ConfidenceModerate
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($205k), not asking prices (1.3M).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, but average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$148Ksells fast
Fair$205Krecent comps
List$219Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$277Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $148K · Fair $148K–$188K · careful above $1400K

Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, and -8% vs 2-yr avg.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 4 yr, 2k mi example, ~$168K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2021-06 2026-06 $1641K $0
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 176 confirmed sales·61 months tracked·since 2021-06·9 active listings

Did our model work? 100% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 2 scored forecasts: 100% got the direction right, median value error ±9%.

2021-06 2026-05 $386K $112K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10

We replayed 147 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-05-28 1991 · 0k mi $147K–$328K $1275K
2026-05-16 1992 · 0k mi $147K–$328K $1100K
2026-05-16 1992 · 0k mi $128K–$369K $1100K
2026-05-15 1990 · 0k mi $147K–$328K $1650K
2026-05-14 1990 · 0k mi $147K–$328K $1075K
2026-05-05 1991 · 2k mi $115K–$255K $1060K
2026-04-25 1992 · 1k mi $138K–$308K $1160K
2026-04-25 1990 · 1k mi $125K–$277K $1023K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 5 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1992 BaT $98.8K–$285K ($168K)
open 1991 BaT $98.9K–$285K ($168K)
open 1993 · 0k mi classic $128K–$369K ($218K)
open 1990 classic $98.9K–$285K ($168K)
open 1989 · 1k mi classic $113K–$325K ($191K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2021-06 now +24mo $1143K $44.0K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 47% Low 100%
12 mo DOWN 53% Low 100%
24 mo DOWN 54% Low

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Bitcoin (USD) has historically led it by about 4 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$168K now +4mo 2021-06 $1143K $165K
BECAUSE bitcoin fell 8%. THEREFORE, given its usual 4-month head start, we expect little change — about +0% (≈ +$200) over the next 4 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation -0.60, 25 months overlap).

If You’d Bought in 2021

$100K invested 2021-06 → today (5.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$16.2K$193K$257K$83.5K$126K 2021 2026 295 100
━ This car $16.2K━ S&P 500 $193K━ Gold $257K━ Luxury $83.5K━ Housing $126K₿ Bitcoin $197K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Porsche Singer roughly 0.2×'d your money (a real 87% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 92% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-87%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Porsche Singer ┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +4mo
2023-07 2026-06

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
49
Undervaluation
0
Liquidity
61
Speculation Opportunity
1
Depreciation Risk
53
Overvaluation
100
asking +739% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
sell-through 100% sell through rate
-8% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
sale prices -0.6%/mo median sale trend slope
-6% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings9
Median fair value$277,293
Avg deal score56/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS 535840
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Ferrari 458 543151
Ferrari 488 523847
Ferrari 550/575 Maranello 564754
McLaren 570S 515552
Ferrari 599 GTB 463349
McLaren 720S 514744

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.