De Tomaso Pantera
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 97%, inventory -0%, -1% vs 2-yr avg, and +3% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 52 yr, 27k mi example, ~$119K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 63% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 41 scored forecasts: 63% got the direction right, median value error ±22%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 185 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±22%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | 1971 · 17k mi | $77.7K–$169K | $71.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-11 | 1973 · 59k mi | $66.9K–$145K | $133K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-11 | 1971 · 56k mi | $68.3K–$148K | $71.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | 1971 · 6k mi | $93.5K–$203K | $132K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-02 | 1971 · 51k mi | $72.0K–$156K | $116K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-26 | 1972 · 34k mi | $82.6K–$180K | $140K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1973 · 42k mi | $80.1K–$174K | $171K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-13 | 1974 · 9k mi | $88.3K–$192K | $132K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1972 · 81k mi | classic | $23.1K–$70.2K ($40.2K) |
| open | 1973 · 10k mi | classic | $60.2K–$174K ($102K) |
| open | 1974 · 45k mi | classic | $65.2K–$188K ($111K) |
| open | 1974 · 57k mi | classic | $62.5K–$180K ($106K) |
| open | 1974 · 9k mi | classic | $77.0K–$222K ($131K) |
| open | 1974 | classic | $68.6K–$198K ($117K) |
| open | 1974 | classic | $68.6K–$198K ($117K) |
| open | 1971 | classic | $68.6K–$198K ($117K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 48% | Low | 60% |
| 12 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 63% |
| 24 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 83% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 2 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 50 | 49 | 37 |
| Ferrari 360 | 23 | 84 | 51 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 69 | 59 |
| Ferrari 458 | 21 | 74 | 47 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 1 | 11 | 51 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 76 | 41 |
| Ferrari 488 | 24 | 71 | 39 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 6 | 62 | 40 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=5.3)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-11.4)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=97.0)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.9)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=27.8)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-23.9)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.