Lamborghini Miura
This outlook for the Lamborghini Miura market is low-confidence due to thin data and a confidence score of 0.452. The market shows a high speculation opportunity at 71.13 with a low depreciation risk of 21.5, yet forecasts indicate a volatile regime with a 0.48 probability of trending down over six months. Gold (futures) is noted as the strongest leading indicator with a correlation of 0.85.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 56 yr, 19k mi example, ~$3241K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 66% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 58 scored forecasts: 66% got the direction right, median value error ±56%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 5 in 10
We replayed 38 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±36%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 5 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 1970 · 23k mi | $1937K–$4244K | $2029K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-26 | 1969 · 6k mi | $1831K–$4011K | $2346K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1967 · 38k mi | $1474K–$3230K | $3030K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1968 · 5k mi | $1852K–$4057K | $4075K | ✗ |
| 2026-03-21 | 1970 · 53k mi | $1068K–$2339K | $1705K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-07 | 1972 · 18k mi | $1367K–$2995K | $6605K | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | 1968 · 0k mi | $2043K–$4475K | $2150K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-06 | 1969 · 19k mi | $1366K–$2992K | $2590K | ✓ |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 64% |
| 12 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 66% |
| 24 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 80% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 49% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Personal Savings Rate and Nasdaq Composite, though Personal Savings Rate points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2006
$100K invested 2006-08 → today (20.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.71). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 53 | 51 | 41 |
| Ferrari 360 | 20 | 84 | 49 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 82 | 54 |
| Ferrari 458 | 25 | 68 | 41 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 1 | 10 | 45 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 70 | 27 |
| Ferrari 488 | 28 | 65 | 36 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 6 | 58 | 46 |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.