Tracking 5 sales in the last 90 days — the modeled signal will appear here on the next nightly rebuild.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 55 yr, 19k mi example, ~$3088K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 56 scored forecasts: 64% got the direction right, median value error ±56%.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 5 in 10
We replayed 36 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±37%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 5 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-08-15
1967 · 38k mi
$1451K–$3175K
$3030K
✓
2026-08-14
1968 · 5k mi
$1819K–$3981K
$4075K
✗
2026-03-21
1970 · 53k mi
$1085K–$2374K
$1705K
✓
2026-03-07
1972 · 18k mi
$1371K–$3000K
$6605K
✗
2026-03-07
1968 · 0k mi
$2036K–$4454K
$2150K
✓
2026-03-06
1969 · 19k mi
$1368K–$2994K
$2590K
✓
2026-02-27
1969 · 23k mi
$1137K–$2488K
$1875K
✓
2026-01-30
1971 · 24k mi
$1110K–$2428K
$2348K
✓
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 49% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Nasdaq Composite and Personal Savings Rate, though Personal Savings Rate points the other way.
⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2006
$100K invested 2006-08 → today (20.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $2126K━ S&P 500 $844K━ Gold $706K━ Luxury $1246K━ Housing $183K
A genuinely strong investment. The Lamborghini Miura roughly 21.3×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 13.0× gain). It actually BEAT the S&P 500 by about 152%. It beat housing (+1065%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 8 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.70). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Lamborghini Miura┄ Russell 2000 (small cap), shifted +8mo
Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) leads by about 6 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.70). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
M2 Money Supply leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Lamborghini Miura┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +9mo
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 18 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Lamborghini Miura┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +18mo
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.