Lamborghini Huracan
Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 6 yr, 8k mi example, ~$258K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 33% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 36 scored forecasts: 33% got the direction right, median value error ±14%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 171 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±15%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2024 · 5k mi | $181K–$394K | $335K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-28 | 2018 · 8k mi | $173K–$377K | $243K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | 2015 · 18k mi | $158K–$344K | $154K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-03 | 2018 · 4k mi | $186K–$405K | $373K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-26 | 2018 · 11k mi | $167K–$364K | $329K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 2021 · 8k mi | $173K–$376K | $112K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-05 | 2018 · 7k mi | $175K–$381K | $253K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | 2019 · 36k mi | $133K–$290K | $143K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2020 · 1k mi | ebay | $185K–$546K ($318K) |
| open | 2022 · 19k mi | ebay | $135K–$400K ($233K) |
| open | 2022 · 19k mi | ebay | $135K–$400K ($233K) |
| open | 2017 · 20k mi | ebay | $135K–$398K ($231K) |
| open | 2017 · 20k mi | ebay | $135K–$398K ($231K) |
| open | 2020 · 1k mi | ebay | $185K–$546K ($318K) |
| open | 2022 · 19k mi | ebay | $135K–$400K ($233K) |
| open | 2017 · 20k mi | ebay | $135K–$398K ($231K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 50% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 50% | Low | 33% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 33% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 4 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by High-Yield Bond Spread and U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-10 → today (5.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.72). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 53 | 52 | 36 |
| Ferrari 360 | 21 | 84 | 50 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 82 | 55 |
| Ferrari 458 | 25 | 68 | 40 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 1 | 9 | 43 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 69 | 24 |
| Ferrari 488 | 28 | 65 | 36 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 6 | 60 | 45 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-90,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$76,400 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$76,400 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-90,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.