Ford GT
Flagged undervalued because -65% vs 2-yr avg, -62% vs 3-yr trend, inventory -1%, and sell-through 97%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 20 yr, 3k mi example, ~$472K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 74% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 110 scored forecasts: 74% got the direction right, median value error ±27%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 380 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±11%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 2005 · 2k mi | $316K–$691K | $690K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-26 | 2005 · 5k mi | $307K–$671K | $685K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-24 | 2005 · 8k mi | $285K–$624K | $715K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-15 | 2006 · 12k mi | $273K–$598K | $600K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-14 | 2006 · 0k mi | $332K–$727K | $880K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-14 | 2005 · 4k mi | $309K–$676K | $616K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-10 | 2006 · 24k mi | $263K–$577K | $480K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-04 | 2006 · 0k mi | $332K–$727K | $2101K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 6 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2005 · 11k mi | classic | $295K–$832K ($495K) |
| open | 2005 · 8k mi | classic | $300K–$834K ($500K) |
| open | 2006 · 8k mi | classic | $282K–$814K ($479K) |
| open | 2006 · 7k mi | classic | $286K–$824K ($485K) |
| open | 2006 · 7k mi | classic | $286K–$824K ($485K) |
| open | 2006 · 7k mi | classic | $286K–$824K ($485K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 64% |
| 12 mo | UP | 58% | Low | 74% |
| 24 mo | UP | 62% | Low | 90% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-03 → today (14.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.96). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 44 | 56 | 36 |
| Ferrari 360 | 39 | 70 | 51 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 67 | 56 |
| Ferrari 458 | 45 | 40 | 52 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 2 | 57 | 41 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 77 | 42 |
| Ferrari 488 | 36 | 57 | 45 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 8 | 54 | 44 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$219,580 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-110,000 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-16.3)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$219,580 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-110,000 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-30.2)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.