Ford GT (2nd Generation)
Flagged undervalued because inventory +0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 5 yr, 0k mi example, ~$827K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 40% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 45 scored forecasts: 40% got the direction right, median value error ±14%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 10 in 10
We replayed 170 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±10%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 10 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | 2021 · 0k mi | $564K–$1231K | $1100K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-27 | 2022 · 0k mi | $576K–$1258K | $913K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-27 | 2021 · 0k mi | $561K–$1226K | $864K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-16 | 2019 · 8k mi | $541K–$1182K | $755K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-23 | 2020 · 0k mi | $569K–$1241K | $702K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-23 | 2020 · 0k mi | $471K–$1360K | $702K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | 2018 · 1k mi | $566K–$1235K | $770K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-21 | 2018 · 1k mi | $496K–$1371K | $770K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2017 · 1k mi | classic | $495K–$1390K ($829K) |
| open | 2019 · 0k mi | classic | $505K–$1417K ($846K) |
| open | 2019 · 0k mi | classic | $502K–$1411K ($842K) |
| open | 2017 · 1k mi | classic | $490K–$1375K ($821K) |
| open | 2020 · 1k mi | classic | $492K–$1383K ($825K) |
| open | 2020 · 0k mi | classic | $473K–$1364K ($803K) |
| open | 2020 · 1k mi | classic | $464K–$1337K ($787K) |
| open | 2020 · 1k mi | classic | $462K–$1333K ($785K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 55% | Low | 51% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | 40% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 55% | Low | 36% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Silver has historically led it by about 18 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and Russell 2000 (small cap).
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2019
$100K invested 2019-08 → today (6.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.62). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 54 | 58 | 45 |
| Ferrari 360 | 28 | 74 | 49 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 80 | 54 |
| Ferrari 458 | 44 | 41 | 53 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 6 | 77 | 53 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 67 | 53 |
| Ferrari 488 | 36 | 63 | 48 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 10 | 36 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-229,901 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$150,995 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-229,901 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$150,995 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-229,901 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$150,995 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.