Lamborghini Diablo
Flagged undervalued because asking -3% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 27 yr, 17k mi example, ~$443K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 63% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 59 scored forecasts: 63% got the direction right, median value error ±33%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 97 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | 2000 · 12k mi | $280K–$610K | $460K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-29 | 1991 · 17k mi | $286K–$624K | $385K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | 1999 · 22k mi | $266K–$580K | $537K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-16 | 2000 · 29k mi | $239K–$522K | $505K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | 1992 · 10k mi | $278K–$607K | $277K | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | 1994 · 8k mi | $285K–$621K | $1628K | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | 1996 · 20k mi | $282K–$617K | $698K | ✗ |
| 2026-02-26 | 1994 · 12k mi | $284K–$621K | $312K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1991 · 28k mi | classic | $236K–$662K ($395K) |
| open | 1991 · 24k mi | classic | $251K–$706K ($421K) |
| open | 2000 · 9k mi | classic | $297K–$824K ($495K) |
| open | 1991 · 12k mi | classic | $233K–$672K ($396K) |
| open | 1992 · 6k mi | classic | $233K–$673K ($396K) |
| open | 1998 · 12k mi | classic | $233K–$672K ($396K) |
| open | 2001 · 26k mi | classic | $206K–$593K ($349K) |
| open | 2001 · 14k mi | classic | $229K–$659K ($388K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 46% | Low | 63% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 44% | Low | 77% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Ethereum (USD) has historically led it by about 13 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2008
$100K invested 2008-01 → today (18.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.79). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 54 | 58 | 45 |
| Ferrari 360 | 28 | 74 | 49 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 80 | 54 |
| Ferrari 458 | 44 | 41 | 53 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 6 | 77 | 53 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 67 | 53 |
| Ferrari 488 | 36 | 63 | 48 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 10 | 36 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$99,588 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$99,588 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-99,588 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-99,588 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-99,588 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$99,588 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.