Lamborghini Diablo
Flagged undervalued because inventory -1%, asking -5% vs historic sold, and sell-through 81%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 28 yr, 13k mi example, ~$487K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 70% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 60 scored forecasts: 70% got the direction right, median value error ±36%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 107 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±25%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 1991 · 22k mi | $290K–$630K | $275K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-13 | 1992 · 25k mi | $279K–$607K | $270K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1991 · 1k mi | $416K–$906K | $803K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1998 · 12k mi | $329K–$716K | $534K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1997 · 20k mi | $295K–$643K | $555K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1992 · 6k mi | $301K–$655K | $313K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1991 · 8k mi | $317K–$689K | $313K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-13 | 2000 · 9k mi | $322K–$702K | $2425K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2001 · 29k mi | BaT | $224K–$662K ($385K) |
| open | 1991 · 27k mi | classic | $235K–$669K ($396K) |
| open | 1991 · 24k mi | classic | $251K–$706K ($421K) |
| open | 1996 · 22k mi | classic | $214K–$618K ($364K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 46% | Low | 52% |
| 12 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 70% |
| 24 mo | UP | 60% | Low | 88% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 51% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 10Y-2Y Yield Spread and Unemployment Rate, though Silver points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2008
$100K invested 2008-01 → today (18.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.91). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari 296 GTB/GTS | 53 | 52 | 36 |
| Ferrari 360 | 21 | 84 | 50 |
| Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradale | 0 | 82 | 55 |
| Ferrari 458 | 25 | 68 | 40 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale | 1 | 9 | 43 |
| Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta | 0 | 69 | 24 |
| Ferrari 488 | 28 | 65 | 36 |
| Ferrari 488 Pista | 6 | 60 | 45 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$111,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$111,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$111,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$111,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$111,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$111,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.