Land Rover Defender NAS (North American Spec)

DEFENDER NAS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$48.7K ▲ $33.3K (+215.2%)12 mo
BUILDINGStill gathering enough sold history to call this market.
Insufficient comps · 1 sold comps
Fair value$48.7K ($42.9K–$54.6K)
Typical ask$62.0K
Recent sold$14.0K
Current valueInsufficient
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
Buyer: Too few confirmed sales to anchor a fair price — treat the number as a rough guide.
Seller: Thin sold history here; comparable sales are limited — price conservatively.
Watcher: Not enough confirmed sales yet — worth a watch as data accrues.

Flagged undervalued because inventory -1%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 28 yr, 145k mi example, ~$48.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2022-02 2026-09 $67.9K $12.5K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 10 confirmed sales (10 auction)·12 sales tracked·56 months tracked·since 2022-02·178 active listings

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo FLAT 50% Low —
12 mo FLAT 50% Low —
24 mo FLAT 50% Low —

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2022

$100K invested 2022-02 → today (4.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$290K$190K$230K$78.5K$117K 2022 2026 290 100
━ This car $290K━ S&P 500 $190K━ Gold $230K━ Luxury $78.5K━ Housing $117K₿ Bitcoin $180K (off-scale)
A genuinely strong investment. The Land Rover Defender NAS (North American Spec) roughly 2.9×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 2.5× gain). It actually BEAT the S&P 500 by about 53%. It beat housing (+147%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
74
Undervaluation
97
Liquidity
43
Speculation Opportunity
84
Depreciation Risk
32
Overvaluation
51
inventory -1% inventory trend slope
sale prices +1.3%/mo median sale trend slope
asking trend +0.0%/mo median asking trend slope
new-listing velocity 0% of active new listing velocity
25% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
8% relisted listing reappearance rate

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings178
Median fair value$16,368
Avg deal score52/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) 545344
Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 574249
Honda Acty 524056
Subaru Baja 446852
BMW F650GS 86855
BMW R1250GS 523344
Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) 574960
Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) 653947

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.