Chevrolet C/K (1960-1966)
The Chevrolet C/K (1960-1966) market exhibits moderate overvaluation at 61.19 and significant depreciation risk at 73.89, coupled with very low liquidity at 8.34. While forecasts suggest a slight upward direction with probabilities ranging from 0.51 to 0.54 over the next 6 to 24 months, these periods are expected to be volatile. The strongest leading indicator for this market is the Russell 2000 (small cap), showing a correlation of 0.73 and a 2-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 60 yr, 6k mi example, ~$23.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 66% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 112 scored forecasts: 66% got the direction right, median value error ±26%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 234 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±40%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 1962 · 44k mi | $12.6K–$36.6K | $22.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1966 · 32k mi | $12.6K–$36.7K | $56.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1965 · 16k mi | $14.3K–$41.6K | $47.3K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1960 · 3k mi | $15.6K–$45.5K | $40.7K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | 1964 · 48k mi | $12.8K–$37.3K | $37.4K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-14 | 1966 · 1k mi | $16.8K–$48.7K | $45.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-19 | 1966 · 0k mi | $21.0K–$61.1K | $52.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-13 | 1963 · 1k mi | $18.4K–$53.5K | $22.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1963 · 98k mi | BaT | $9.2K–$36.0K ($18.2K) |
| open | 1965 · 82k mi | ebay | $9.9K–$38.0K ($19.4K) |
| open | 1966 | ebay | $11.5K–$44.2K ($22.5K) |
| open | 1966 · 2k mi | classic | $12.4K–$47.9K ($24.4K) |
| open | 1964 · 1k mi | classic | $16.3K–$62.8K ($32.0K) |
| open | 1966 · 2k mi | classic | $13.2K–$50.7K ($25.9K) |
| open | 1965 | classic | $12.1K–$46.5K ($23.7K) |
| open | 1965 · 82k mi | classic | $10.6K–$40.7K ($20.8K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 60% |
| 12 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 66% |
| 24 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 63% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 44 | 61 | 43 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 64 | 31 | 50 |
| Honda Acty | 50 | 53 | 57 |
| Subaru Baja | 59 | 45 | 49 |
| BMW F650GS | 45 | 42 | 36 |
| BMW R1250GS | 60 | 46 | 54 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 64 | 36 | 47 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 61 | 57 | 30 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.8)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-5.1)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=6.3)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.2)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.4)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.5)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.