Jeep CJ-7
The Jeep CJ-7 market, with a confidence of 0.935, signals potential upward movement over 6, 12, and 24 months, though the probability for this direction is approximately 0.49 to 0.5, indicating a volatile regime. Data also points to a depreciation risk of 62.74 and lower liquidity at 41.26. The High-Yield Bond Spread is identified as a strong leading indicator, showing a 0.66 correlation with an 18-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 42 yr, 70k mi example, ~$16.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 55% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 112 scored forecasts: 55% got the direction right, median value error ±27%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 352 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±28%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | 1986 · 119k mi | $8.8K–$25.6K | $13.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | 1979 · 2k mi | $11.3K–$32.8K | $13.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1983 | $8.1K–$31.5K | $9.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1983 · 1k mi | $11.7K–$34.1K | $8.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-13 | 1985 · 2k mi | $11.4K–$33.0K | $39.6K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-11 | 1984 · 40k mi | $9.1K–$26.3K | $13.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-10 | 1983 · 64k mi | $9.7K–$28.1K | $18.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-06 | 1986 · 88k mi | $9.7K–$28.1K | $39.5K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1985 | BaT | $8.5K–$33.6K ($16.9K) |
| open | 1979 · 2k mi | ebay | $9.9K–$39.1K ($19.7K) |
| open | 1986 · 52k mi | BaT | $8.3K–$32.6K ($16.5K) |
| open | 1980 · 124k mi | ebay | $7.5K–$29.6K ($14.9K) |
| open | 1979 · 2k mi | ebay | $9.9K–$39.0K ($19.7K) |
| open | 1979 · 23k mi | ebay | $8.9K–$35.0K ($17.7K) |
| open | 1984 · 108k mi | hemmings | $8.1K–$31.7K ($16.0K) |
| open | 1984 · 0k mi | ebay | $10.3K–$40.3K ($20.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 55% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 47% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. M2 Money Supply has historically led it by about 16 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 30% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by M2 Money Supply and 30-Year Mortgage Rate, though Personal Savings Rate points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-05 → today (14.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.43). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 54 | 53 | 44 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 57 | 42 | 49 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 40 | 56 |
| Subaru Baja | 44 | 68 | 52 |
| BMW F650GS | 86 | 8 | 55 |
| BMW R1250GS | 52 | 33 | 44 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 57 | 49 | 60 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 65 | 39 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$8,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,400 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,633 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,100 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$12,601 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,100 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.