Jeep CJ-5
Given the thin data, this read on the Jeep CJ-5 market is low-confidence. While the market registers a 68.47 undervaluation score and 54.73 speculation opportunity, appreciation momentum is low at 36.64, with a forecast indicating a down direction with 0.51 probability over 12 and 24 months amid volatile regimes. The High-Yield Bond Spread, with a correlation of 0.59 at a 1-month lead, serves as the strongest leading indicator for this market.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 48 yr, 9k mi example, ~$10.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 54% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 107 scored forecasts: 54% got the direction right, median value error ±33%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 198 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±33%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | 1978 · 0k mi | $6.9K–$19.9K | $16.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-29 | 1979 · 0k mi | $6.9K–$20.2K | $20.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-27 | 1977 · 1k mi | $8.0K–$23.3K | $36.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-13 | 1980 · 7k mi | $8.7K–$25.4K | $27.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-06 | 1963 · 3k mi | $9.2K–$26.7K | $7.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-04-17 | 1981 · 91k mi | $6.6K–$19.1K | $18.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-09 | 1974 · 0k mi | $7.9K–$22.9K | $9.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | 1980 · 1k mi | $9.0K–$26.2K | $11.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1979 · 0k mi | ebay | $5.3K–$20.4K ($10.4K) |
| open | 1979 · 62k mi | ebay | $4.6K–$17.7K ($9.0K) |
| open | 1976 · 1k mi | ebay | $6.4K–$24.5K ($12.5K) |
| open | 1979 · 0k mi | ebay | $5.5K–$21.1K ($10.8K) |
| open | 1979 · 62k mi | ebay | $4.8K–$18.3K ($9.3K) |
| open | 1976 · 1k mi | ebay | $6.6K–$25.2K ($12.9K) |
| open | 1979 · 0k mi | ebay | $5.5K–$21.0K ($10.7K) |
| open | 1976 · 47k mi | ebay | $5.1K–$19.7K ($10.1K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 65% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 54% |
| 24 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 62% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. 10-Year Treasury Yield has historically led it by about 17 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2009
$100K invested 2009-10 → today (16.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land Rover Defender 90 (Euro Spec) | 44 | 57 | 47 |
| Porsche Cayenne (958) 2011-2018 | 66 | 33 | 51 |
| Honda Acty | 52 | 57 | 53 |
| Subaru Baja | 61 | 58 | 49 |
| BMW F650GS | 41 | 51 | 59 |
| BMW R1250GS | 53 | 33 | 51 |
| Ford Bronco (2nd Generation) | 50 | 29 | 34 |
| Ford Bronco (3rd Generation, 1980-1986) | 63 | 62 | 39 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=4.5)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,900 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,900 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,900 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,900 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,900 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.