Volvo V70 R
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 96%, inventory -0%, and +5% vs 2-yr avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 21 yr, 144k mi example, ~$13.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 33% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 6 scored forecasts: 33% got the direction right, median value error ±56%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 5 in 10
We replayed 50 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±42%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 5 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 2004 · 264k mi | $5.9K–$13.1K | $5.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-24 | 2004 · 146k mi | $8.1K–$18.2K | $6.6K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-17 | 2004 · 169k mi | $7.2K–$16.1K | $10.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 2006 · 197k mi | $6.6K–$14.8K | $21.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-04 | 2007 · 132k mi | $8.9K–$19.9K | $8.7K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-03 | 2004 · 89k mi | $9.7K–$21.7K | $33.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-23 | 2005 · 192k mi | $7.0K–$15.7K | $10.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | 2004 · 165k mi | $7.7K–$17.2K | $27.5K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 1 open auction in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2006 · 177k mi | classic | $6.3K–$17.7K ($10.5K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 61% | Low | 67% |
| 12 mo | UP | 66% | Low | 33% |
| 24 mo | UP | 73% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Trade-Weighted Dollar Index has historically led it by about 17 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-05 → today (5.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Personal Savings Rate leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 44 | 44 | 57 |
| Nissan 350Z | 55 | 53 | 53 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 51 | 9 | 56 |
| Nissan 370Z | 50 | 45 | 46 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 50 | 49 | 39 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 66 | 29 | 48 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 47 | 47 | 39 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 19 | 42 | 41 |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.