Audi TT
Flagged undervalued because -51% vs 2-yr avg, and -52% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 22 yr, 62k mi example, ~$11.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 48% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 77 scored forecasts: 48% got the direction right, median value error ±30%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 312 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | 2002 · 61k mi | $7.9K–$17.5K | $15.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 2002 · 121k mi | $5.2K–$11.5K | $5.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-12 | 2002 · 59k mi | $8.1K–$17.8K | $6.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-06 | 2008 · 72k mi | $7.4K–$16.2K | $13.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-05 | 2003 · 72k mi | $7.4K–$16.2K | $11.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-05 | 2001 · 49k mi | $8.8K–$19.5K | $9.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-05 | 2002 · 105k mi | $6.0K–$13.2K | $5.2K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-04 | 2005 · 86k mi | $6.8K–$15.0K | $12.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2001 · 35k mi | ebay | $8.7K–$24.4K ($14.6K) |
| open | 2011 · 42k mi | classic | $8.1K–$22.8K ($13.6K) |
| open | 2002 · 126k mi | BaT | $4.3K–$12.0K ($7.1K) |
| open | 2012 · 127k mi | classic | $4.2K–$11.9K ($7.1K) |
| open | 2014 · 125k mi | classic | $4.4K–$12.3K ($7.3K) |
| open | 2002 · 42k mi | classic | $8.2K–$23.1K ($13.8K) |
| open | 2014 · 85k mi | classic | $5.9K–$16.6K ($9.9K) |
| open | 2009 · 99k mi | classic | $5.5K–$15.4K ($9.2K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 55% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 48% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 46% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Ethereum (USD) has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 27% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Ethereum (USD) and Initial Jobless Claims, though Ethereum (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-01 → today (13.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Ethereum (USD) leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.53). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 30 | 47 | 47 |
| Nissan 350Z | 41 | 64 | 45 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 45 | 64 | 19 |
| Nissan 370Z | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 56 | 45 | 46 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 63 | 42 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 54 | 47 | 54 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 22 | 53 | 48 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,863 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,638 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,130 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,863 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-2,644 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,405 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.