Porsche Taycan Turbo GT / Turbo S
Showing appreciation momentum: +28% vs 12-mo avg, and sale prices +0.8%/mo.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 3 yr, 14k mi example, ~$72.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 66% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 29 scored forecasts: 66% got the direction right, median value error ±17%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 99 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±17%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | 2022 · 14k mi | $46.1K–$102K | $74.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-11 | 2020 · 30k mi | $43.9K–$96.7K | $57.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-09 | 2022 · 11k mi | $48.2K–$106K | $94.7K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-09 | 2021 · 30k mi | $44.0K–$96.8K | $82.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-29 | 2020 · 19k mi | $42.1K–$92.7K | $50.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-19 | 2022 · 30k mi | $41.9K–$92.3K | $70.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-18 | 2025 · 1k mi | $63.2K–$139K | $113K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-16 | 2022 · 26k mi | $45.6K–$100K | $31.8K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2025 · 4k mi | classic | $57.0K–$160K ($95.5K) |
| open | 2025 · 13k mi | classic | $44.8K–$126K ($75.1K) |
| open | 2024 · 25k mi | classic | $41.1K–$116K ($69.0K) |
| open | 2022 · 8k mi | classic | $49.5K–$139K ($83.0K) |
| open | 2020 · 9k mi | classic | $48.8K–$137K ($81.8K) |
| open | 2021 · 16k mi | classic | $43.4K–$122K ($72.7K) |
| open | 2021 · 17k mi | classic | $43.0K–$121K ($72.0K) |
| open | 2023 · 18k mi | classic | $42.6K–$120K ($71.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 57% | Low | 37% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 58% | Low | 66% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 59% | Low | 35% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Housing Starts has historically led it by about 11 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Housing Starts and Ethereum (USD).
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-07 → today (5.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
30-Year Mortgage Rate leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.62). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 30 | 47 | 47 |
| Nissan 350Z | 41 | 64 | 45 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 45 | 64 | 19 |
| Nissan 370Z | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 56 | 45 | 46 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 63 | 42 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 54 | 47 | 54 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 22 | 53 | 48 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$13,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-11,605 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$26,310 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-11,605 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=5.4)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.