Toyota GR Supra (A90)
Flagged undervalued because asking +1% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 3 yr, 6k mi example, ~$51.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 41% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 22 scored forecasts: 41% got the direction right, median value error ±12%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 78 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±8%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 2021 · 2k mi | $36.1K–$80.0K | $51.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-29 | 2023 · 14k mi | $32.1K–$71.1K | $53.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-05 | 2024 · 10k mi | $33.4K–$74.0K | $54.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-03 | 2022 · 57k mi | $28.1K–$62.2K | $35.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-08 | 2020 · 9k mi | $28.5K–$91.5K | $51.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-08 | 2020 · 10k mi | $33.8K–$74.9K | $51.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-01 | 2020 · 67k mi | $27.6K–$61.1K | $44.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-02 | 2024 · 2k mi | $36.7K–$81.2K | $60.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2023 | C&B | $30.6K–$86.5K ($51.5K) |
| open | 2020 · 18k mi | classic | $28.8K–$81.3K ($48.4K) |
| open | 2020 · 22k mi | classic | $28.4K–$80.1K ($47.7K) |
| open | 2023 · 23k mi | classic | $28.4K–$80.1K ($47.7K) |
| open | 2021 · 29k mi | classic | $28.3K–$80.1K ($47.6K) |
| open | 2020 · 40k mi | classic | $27.7K–$78.3K ($46.6K) |
| open | 2021 · 52k mi | classic | $26.5K–$75.0K ($44.6K) |
| open | 2020 · 6k mi | classic | $33.5K–$94.6K ($56.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 42% | Moderate | 50% |
| 12 mo | UP | 44% | Moderate | 41% |
| 24 mo | UP | 45% | Moderate | 30% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Dow Jones Industrial has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 51% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Dow Jones Industrial and Trade-Weighted Dollar Index, though Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-05 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 17 | 68 | 61 |
| Nissan 350Z | 43 | 68 | 50 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 29 | 55 | 57 |
| Nissan 370Z | 50 | 45 | 50 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 54 | 40 | 45 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 58 | 45 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 44 | 37 | 36 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 17 | 38 | 30 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=4.3)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$9,005 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,249 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$9,005 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.