Blended value of a standard 18 yr, 91k mi example, ~$12.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 3 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2007 · 66k mi
classic
$6.7K–$18.8K ($11.2K)
open
2009 · 5k mi
classic
$7.7K–$24.8K ($13.9K)
open
2007 · 71k mi
classic
$5.9K–$19.0K ($10.6K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
59%
Low
25%
12 mo
UP
64%
Low
—
24 mo
UP
69%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. 10-Year Treasury Yield has historically led it by about 12 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE the 10-year Treasury yield rose 5%. THEREFORE, given its usual 12-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −1% (≈ −$92) over the next 12 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation -0.73, 20 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-05 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $61.2K━ S&P 500 $195K━ Gold $216K━ Luxury $82.0K━ Housing $129K₿ Bitcoin $159K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Cadillac STS-V roughly 0.6×'d your money (a real 51% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 69% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-53%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Cadillac STS-V┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +0mo
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 15 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 15 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 12 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.
30-Year Mortgage Rate leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.71). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Initial Jobless Claims leads by about 7 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 6 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.67). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
2-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 21 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 21 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.62). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.