Dodge Stealth
Flagged undervalued because asking -39% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 32 yr, 47k mi example, ~$14.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 60% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 45 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±31%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 4 in 10
We replayed 71 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±42%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 4 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | 1993 | $6.5K–$20.8K | $18.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 1993 · 40k mi | $8.2K–$18.1K | $17.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-05 | 1991 · 76k mi | $7.0K–$15.3K | $15.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-04-15 | 1991 · 12k mi | $10.7K–$23.6K | $26.7K | ✗ |
| 2026-04-15 | 1992 · 99k mi | $6.0K–$13.1K | $8.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-26 | 1991 · 49k mi | $7.5K–$16.4K | $19.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-03-05 | 1993 · 57k mi | $7.3K–$16.0K | $17.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-01-30 | 1992 · 7k mi | $7.9K–$25.5K | $7.5K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1994 · 136k mi | ebay | $4.5K–$12.7K ($7.6K) |
| open | 1995 · 68k mi | classic | $6.4K–$18.0K ($10.7K) |
| open | 1991 · 121k mi | ebay | $4.8K–$13.4K ($8.0K) |
| open | 1993 | classic | $7.2K–$20.1K ($12.0K) |
| open | 1991 · 99k mi | classic | $4.6K–$14.8K ($8.3K) |
| open | 1991 · 10k mi | classic | $8.7K–$27.8K ($15.5K) |
| open | 1991 · 81k mi | classic | $5.3K–$17.1K ($9.6K) |
| open | 1992 · 89k mi | classic | $4.9K–$15.7K ($8.8K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 46% | Low | 69% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 44% | Low | 60% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 40% | Low | 67% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 77% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 2-Year Treasury Yield and Initial Jobless Claims, though Bitcoin (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2016
$100K invested 2016-10 → today (9.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 30 | 47 | 47 |
| Nissan 350Z | 41 | 64 | 45 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 45 | 64 | 19 |
| Nissan 370Z | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 56 | 45 | 46 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 63 | 42 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 54 | 47 | 54 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 22 | 53 | 48 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$6,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,049 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,049 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$6,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$6,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,049 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.