Dodge Stealth
Flagged undervalued because asking -29% vs historic sold, sell-through 94%, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 32 yr, 57k mi example, ~$17.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 60% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 47 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±30%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 5 in 10
We replayed 72 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±37%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 5 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 1995 · 37k mi | $11.9K–$26.6K | $44.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-26 | 1991 · 13k mi | $13.1K–$29.2K | $23.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-13 | 1993 · 61k mi | $8.2K–$18.3K | $16.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 1993 | $6.5K–$20.8K | $18.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 1993 · 40k mi | $9.5K–$21.2K | $17.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-05 | 1991 · 76k mi | $7.2K–$16.0K | $15.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-15 | 1991 · 12k mi | $11.3K–$25.3K | $26.7K | ✗ |
| 2026-04-15 | 1992 · 99k mi | $5.9K–$13.3K | $8.2K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1991 · 97k mi | ebay | $7.0K–$20.1K ($11.9K) |
| open | 1994 · 136k mi | ebay | $5.5K–$15.4K ($9.2K) |
| open | 1991 · 10k mi | classic | $8.7K–$27.8K ($15.5K) |
| open | 1991 · 135k mi | classic | $4.1K–$13.2K ($7.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 62% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 60% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 48% | Low | 54% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 1 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2016
$100K invested 2016-10 → today (9.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.47). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 44 | 44 | 57 |
| Nissan 350Z | 55 | 53 | 53 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 51 | 9 | 56 |
| Nissan 370Z | 50 | 45 | 46 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 50 | 49 | 39 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 66 | 29 | 48 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 47 | 47 | 39 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 19 | 42 | 41 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,500 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,500 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.