Audi RS6 Avant
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 10k mi example, ~$105K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 26% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 23 scored forecasts: 26% got the direction right, median value error ±15%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 112 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±10%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 2023 · 14k mi | $70.3K–$157K | $95.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-25 | 2021 · 39k mi | $61.3K–$137K | $84.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-30 | 2022 · 28k mi | $64.6K–$144K | $106K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-28 | 2025 · 0k mi | $97.6K–$218K | $210K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | 2025 · 2k mi | $85.9K–$192K | $138K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-12 | 2024 · 6k mi | $78.7K–$176K | $133K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-07 | 2025 · 4k mi | $82.4K–$184K | $133K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-06 | 2024 · 7k mi | $76.0K–$170K | $117K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2021 | C&B | $62.3K–$178K ($105K) |
| open | 2021 · 14k mi | BaT | $62.6K–$179K ($106K) |
| open | 2025 · 7k mi | BaT | $68.1K–$195K ($115K) |
| open | 2025 · 5k mi | classic | $70.9K–$200K ($119K) |
| open | 2021 · 24k mi | classic | $59.7K–$168K ($100K) |
| open | 2023 · 26k mi | classic | $59.1K–$167K ($99.3K) |
| open | 2023 · 27k mi | classic | $58.8K–$166K ($98.7K) |
| open | 2021 · 69k mi | classic | $51.4K–$145K ($86.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 66% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 43% | Low | 26% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 38% | Low | 73% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Personal Savings Rate has historically led it by about 8 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Personal Savings Rate and Initial Jobless Claims.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Personal Savings Rate leads by about 8 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.82). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 44 | 44 | 57 |
| Nissan 350Z | 55 | 53 | 53 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 51 | 9 | 56 |
| Nissan 370Z | 50 | 45 | 46 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 50 | 49 | 39 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 66 | 29 | 48 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 47 | 47 | 39 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 19 | 42 | 41 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$25,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,995 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.