Porsche 911 RS America
Flagged undervalued because -42% vs 2-yr avg, -39% vs 3-yr trend, and sell-through 99%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 32 yr, 53k mi example, ~$182K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 25% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 12 scored forecasts: 25% got the direction right, median value error ±52%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 42 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±14%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | 1994 · 61k mi | $114K–$274K | $180K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-31 | 1993 · 78k mi | $103K–$249K | $108K | ✓ |
| 2026-02-28 | 1993 · 18k mi | $141K–$339K | $331K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-29 | 1994 · 16k mi | $143K–$344K | $280K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-29 | 1993 · 50k mi | $116K–$281K | $165K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-29 | 1994 · 43k mi | $116K–$280K | $139K | ✓ |
| 2025-10-06 | 1993 · 25k mi | $139K–$335K | $209K | ✓ |
| 2025-09-15 | 1993 · 69k mi | $114K–$275K | $188K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 3 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1993 · 69k mi | classic | $96.1K–$308K ($172K) |
| open | 1994 | C&B | $102K–$328K ($183K) |
| open | 1993 · 91k mi | classic | $80.0K–$257K ($143K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 50% |
| 12 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 25% |
| 24 mo | UP | 58% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment has historically led it by about 13 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 53% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by VIX Volatility Index and Bitcoin (USD), though Trade-Weighted Dollar Index points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2015
$100K invested 2015-08 → today (10.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
PCE Price Index leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 50 | 34 | 49 |
| Nissan 350Z | 47 | 60 | 48 |
| Nissan 370Z | 52 | 56 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 58 | 35 | 49 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 35 | 33 | 39 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 63 | 46 | 54 |
| Porsche 911 (964) | 44 | 43 | 45 |
| Porsche 911 Turbo (964) | 26 | 75 | 22 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$39,003 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$39,003 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$39,003 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$39,003 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.