Pontiac GTO (1964-1967)

PONTIAC GTO 1964 1967 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$57.6K ▼ $5.4K (−8.6%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEAsks running above recent sales — but volatile.
Well supported · 371 sold + 405 active
Fair value$57.6K ($50.7K–$64.6K)
Typical ask$65.0K
Recent sold$57.2K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up · 59% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($57k), not asking prices ($65k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$50.7Ksells fast
Fair$57.2Krecent comps
List$61.2Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$77.2Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $50.7K · Fair $50.7K–$64.6K · careful above $78.5K

Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 59 yr, 28k mi example, ~$57.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2006-01 2026-08 $121K $5.4K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 1905 confirmed sales (1893 auction · 12 other)·248 months tracked·since 2006-01·1182 active listings

Did our model work? 59% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 151 scored forecasts: 59% got the direction right, median value error ±16%.

2004-08 2026-08 $93.1K $14.8K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 409 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±28%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-08-17 1966 · 51k mi $27.8K–$90.8K $39.8K
2026-08-15 1966 · 95k mi $26.3K–$86.1K $46.2K
2026-08-14 1967 $27.0K–$123K $72.2K
2026-08-14 1967 · 31k mi $30.7K–$100K $67.5K
2026-08-05 1964 $26.5K–$122K $45.2K
2026-07-30 1966 · 59k mi $27.0K–$88.3K $56.8K
2026-07-25 1966 · 15k mi $31.4K–$103K $121K
2026-07-25 1967 · 38k mi $29.6K–$96.8K $74.8K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1967 BaT $26.5K–$125K ($57.6K)
open 1965 · 52k mi ebay $23.1K–$109K ($50.2K)
open 1967 · 99k mi BaT $20.8K–$98.4K ($45.2K)
open 1966 · 69k mi BaT $22.4K–$106K ($48.7K)
open 1965 · 57k mi ebay $22.9K–$108K ($49.8K)
open 1966 · 43k mi ebay $24.1K–$114K ($52.5K)
open 1967 · 64k mi ebay $22.4K–$106K ($48.6K)
open 1966 · 100k mi ebay $20.7K–$95.7K ($44.5K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2006-01 now +24mo $285K $14.5K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo FLAT 50% Low 69%
12 mo DOWN 48% Low 59%
24 mo DOWN 47% Low 58%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 76% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by High-Yield Bond Spread and Bitcoin (USD), though M2 Money Supply points the other way.

Trend and leading indicators agree — both point down. Higher-conviction read.
now +12mo (indicators) $72.2K $34.1K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

High-Yield Bond Spre-0.5Bitcoin (USD)-1.8Trade-Weighted Dolla-0.4LVMH (luxury proxy A-0.1M2 Money Supply+1.710Y-2Y Yield Spread-0.6Nasdaq Composite-0.5Personal Savings Rat-0.1 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2006

$100K invested 2006-01 → today (20.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$116K$874K$783K$1432K$185K 2006 2026 2270 100
━ This car $116K━ S&P 500 $874K━ Gold $783K━ Luxury $1432K━ Housing $185K
Lost ground to inflation. The Pontiac GTO (1964-1967) roughly 1.2×'d your money (a real 30% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 87% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-37%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.71). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Pontiac GTO (1964-1967) ┄ LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), shifted +1mo
2006-01 2026-08

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
58
Undervaluation
49
Liquidity
45
Speculation Opportunity
53
Depreciation Risk
48
Overvaluation
58
inventory -0% inventory trend slope
asking +14% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
-4% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
asking trend +0.1%/mo median asking trend slope
sale prices +0.4%/mo median sale trend slope
87 days on market median days on market
3% relisted listing reappearance rate
new-listing velocity 4% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings1182
Median fair value$51,573
Avg deal score51/100

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Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS 187037
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Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.