Pontiac GTO (1964-1967)
Flagged undervalued because -2% vs 3-yr trend, and -2% vs 2-yr avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 59 yr, 28k mi example, ~$57.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 59% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 152 scored forecasts: 59% got the direction right, median value error ±16%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 425 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±29%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 1967 · 6k mi | $33.6K–$106K | $48.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-24 | 1967 · 75k mi | $28.8K–$90.7K | $48.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-24 | 1967 · 32k mi | $30.9K–$97.5K | $20.9K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-22 | 1964 · 51k mi | $29.1K–$91.9K | $55.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-22 | 1967 · 24k mi | $31.5K–$99.3K | $43.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-17 | 1967 · 7k mi | $33.2K–$105K | $62.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-16 | 1967 · 0k mi | $38.4K–$121K | $102K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-15 | 1967 · 55k mi | $28.8K–$90.8K | $64.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1965 · 52k mi | ebay | $24.2K–$115K ($52.7K) |
| open | 1966 · 45k mi | BaT | $24.6K–$116K ($53.4K) |
| open | 1965 · 52k mi | ebay | $24.2K–$114K ($52.5K) |
| open | 1965 · 52k mi | ebay | $23.4K–$108K ($50.4K) |
| open | 1966 · 52k mi | classic | $23.2K–$106K ($49.6K) |
| open | 1966 · 2k mi | classic | $28.6K–$131K ($61.3K) |
| open | 1965 · 92k mi | classic | $22.6K–$104K ($48.4K) |
| open | 1966 | classic | $25.8K–$120K ($55.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 68% |
| 12 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 59% |
| 24 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 58% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 26% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Bitcoin (USD) and Trade-Weighted Dollar Index, though Trade-Weighted Dollar Index points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2006
$100K invested 2006-01 → today (20.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.71). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 54 | 36 | 51 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 52 | 39 | 22 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 44 | 68 | 44 |
| Plymouth Barracuda 'Cuda | 49 | 78 | 63 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 24 | 68 | 39 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 59 | 38 | 50 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen | 49 | 56 | 45 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 46 | 52 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-20,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$38,400 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-20,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$38,400 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$38,400 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-20,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.