Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28

CAMARO 2ND GEN Z28 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$34.4K ▲ $550 (+1.6%)12 mo
COOLINGPriced above trend · momentum cooling — but volatile.
Fair value$34.4K ($30.2K–$38.5K)
Typical ask$34.0K
Recent sold$34.9K
12-mo outlookSlightly down · 4-in-10 up
ConfidenceHigh · 56% calls right
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($35k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($35k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$30.2Ksells fast
Fair$34.9Krecent comps
List$37.4Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$47.2Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $30.2K · Fair $30.2K–$38.5K · careful above $48.4K

Flagged undervalued because asking -3% vs historic sold.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 48 yr, 43k mi example, ~$34.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2012-01 2026-06 $81.8K $9.3K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 1067 confirmed sales·174 months tracked·since 2012-01·268 active listings

Did our model work? 56% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 39 scored forecasts: 56% got the direction right, median value error ±13%.

2021-03 2026-06 $49.5K $23.4K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10

We replayed 118 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±35%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-05-27 1978 · 1k mi $22.3K–$65.6K $20.8K
2026-05-15 1970 · 63k mi $15.9K–$46.8K $85.8K
2026-05-15 1970 · 38k mi $21.3K–$62.5K $73.7K
2026-05-15 1973 · 45k mi $19.5K–$57.3K $55.0K
2026-05-12 1979 · 49k mi $18.5K–$54.4K $24.2K
2026-05-09 1979 · 4k mi $19.8K–$58.2K $31.9K
2026-05-09 1979 · 1k mi $22.5K–$66.2K $29.7K
2026-04-11 1981 · 137k mi $7.6K–$32.4K $22.0K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1973 · 0k mi ebay $19.7K–$83.4K ($40.5K)
open 1981 classic $16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open 1973 · 6k mi classic $16.0K–$67.9K ($33.0K)
open 1981 · 45k mi classic $16.0K–$68.0K ($33.0K)
open 1977 · 7k mi classic $15.9K–$67.3K ($32.7K)
open 1981 · 53k mi classic $14.6K–$61.6K ($29.9K)
open 1973 · 0k mi ebay $19.9K–$84.3K ($41.0K)
open 1970 · 56k mi classic $14.1K–$59.7K ($29.0K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2012-01 now +24mo $52.2K $11.4K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 43% Low 62%
12 mo DOWN 58% Low 56%
24 mo DOWN 59% Low 63%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$33.8K now +5mo 2012-01 $42.8K $14.6K
BECAUSE credit spreads fell 5%. THEREFORE, given its usual 5-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −2% (≈ −$595) over the next 5 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.76, 20 months overlap).

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 53% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Gold (futures) and Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), though Housing Starts points the other way.

⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
now +12mo (indicators) $42.8K $14.6K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

Gold (futures)+1.3Nonfarm Payrolls (jo+1.3WTI Crude Oil+1.1Trade-Weighted Dolla+0.710-Year Treasury Yie+1.0Russell 2000 (small +1.2Housing Starts-1.2US Metro Mean Temper-1.4 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2012

$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$136K$743K$261K$670K$246K 2012 2026 1035 100
━ This car $136K━ S&P 500 $743K━ Gold $261K━ Luxury $670K━ Housing $246K
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 roughly 1.4×'d your money (a real 7% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 82% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-45%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.76). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 ┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +5mo
2023-08 2026-06

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
35
Undervaluation
31
Liquidity
31
Speculation Opportunity
31
Depreciation Risk
59
Overvaluation
50
sell-through 79% sell through rate
+9% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
+7% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
sale prices +0.6%/mo median sale trend slope
+2% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
34 days on market median days on market
2% relisted listing reappearance rate

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings268
Median fair value$26,035
Avg deal score52/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS 7673

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.