Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28

CAMARO 2ND GEN Z28 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$30.7K ▼ $6.2K (−16.7%)12 mo
WATCHWell-supported value — but volatile.
Well supported · 204 sold + 336 active
Fair value$30.7K ($27.0K–$34.4K)
Typical ask$30.7K
Recent sold$32.8K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up · 58% calls right
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($33k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($33k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$27.0Ksells fast
Fair$32.8Krecent comps
List$35.0Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$44.2Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $27.0K · Fair $27.0K–$34.4K · careful above $45.0K

The market for the Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 carries a data confidence of 0.935, with signals pointing to upward movement over 6, 12, and 24 months, each with probabilities of 0.46, 0.46, and 0.45, respectively, all within a volatile regime. Appreciation momentum scores 35.83, while undervaluation scores 59.18, suggesting potential value. The High-Yield Bond Spread is noted as the strongest leading indicator, showing a correlation of 0.78 with a 5-month lead.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 52 yr, 34k mi example, ~$30.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2010-03 2026-10 $84.8K $10.3K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 1090 confirmed auction sales·188 months tracked·since 2010-03·925 active listings

Did our model work? 58% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 133 scored forecasts: 58% got the direction right, median value error ±15%.

2007-07 2026-10 $223K $23.8K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10

We replayed 96 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±31%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-09-25 1979 · 37k mi $19.5K–$61.6K $36.3K ✓
2026-09-24 1979 · 43k mi $18.6K–$58.6K $30.8K ✓
2026-09-23 1979 · 36k mi $19.5K–$61.3K $24.2K ✓
2026-09-23 1975 · 71k mi $14.6K–$46.1K $20.9K ✓
2026-09-21 1980 · 69k mi $14.5K–$45.8K $22.5K ✓
2026-09-20 1977 · 59k mi $15.3K–$48.1K $15.0K ✗
2026-09-18 1981 · 48k mi $17.3K–$54.5K $35.0K ✓
2026-09-11 1980 · 8k mi $18.6K–$58.6K $33.0K ✓

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1978 · 2k mi ebay $14.9K–$70.8K ($32.5K)
open 1978 · 2k mi ebay $14.8K–$70.3K ($32.3K)
open 1973 · 6k mi ebay $14.7K–$69.5K ($31.9K)
open 1974 · 73k mi hemmings $11.9K–$56.2K ($25.8K)
open 1973 classic $16.2K–$74.9K ($34.8K)
open 1981 · 60k mi classic $13.2K–$61.2K ($28.4K)
open 1980 · 45k mi classic $15.6K–$71.9K ($33.5K)
open 1979 · 65k mi ebay $12.7K–$58.4K ($27.2K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2010-03 now +24mo $132K $8.0K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 46% Low 58%
12 mo UP 46% Low 58%
24 mo UP 45% Low 64%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2010

$100K invested 2010-03 → today (16.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$151K$872K$368K$772K$235K 2010 2026 1508 100
━ This car $151K━ S&P 500 $872K━ Gold $368K━ Luxury $772K━ Housing $235K
Roughly tracked inflation — flat in real terms. The Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 roughly 1.5×'d your money (a real 3% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 83% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-36%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 12 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.67). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 ┄ Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), shifted +12mo
2010-03 2026-10

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
39
Undervaluation
59
Liquidity
45
Speculation Opportunity
50
Depreciation Risk
57
Overvaluation
43
-16% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
-12% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
asking -11% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
-12% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices -0.6%/mo median sale trend slope
sell-through 64% sell through rate
78 days on market median days on market
2% relisted listing reappearance rate

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings925
Median fair value$22,417
Avg deal score49/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS 148239

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.