Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen
Flagged undervalued because asking -30% vs historic sold, -20% vs 3-yr trend, and -18% vs 2-yr avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 37 yr, 34k mi example, ~$19.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 41% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 39 scored forecasts: 41% got the direction right, median value error ±22%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 332 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±28%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | 1985 · 17k mi | $13.7K–$40.3K | $15.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-21 | 1987 · 35k mi | $11.3K–$33.3K | $23.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | 1992 · 7k mi | $13.8K–$40.4K | $21.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-13 | 1988 · 12k mi | $13.8K–$40.4K | $22.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | 1991 · 36k mi | $11.2K–$33.0K | $16.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-08 | 1984 · 67k mi | $8.6K–$25.3K | $20.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-07 | 1986 · 43k mi | $10.5K–$30.8K | $17.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-24 | 1984 · 41k mi | $10.8K–$31.6K | $13.8K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1983 · 75k mi | classic | $7.3K–$31.0K ($15.0K) |
| open | 1988 · 93k mi | ebay | $7.3K–$30.9K ($15.0K) |
| open | 1986 · 27k mi | classic | $10.1K–$42.8K ($20.8K) |
| open | 1991 · 63k mi | classic | $7.1K–$30.0K ($14.6K) |
| open | 1992 · 126k mi | ebay | $4.6K–$19.5K ($9.5K) |
| open | 1989 · 2k mi | classic | $12.9K–$54.5K ($26.5K) |
| open | 1986 | classic | $9.4K–$39.9K ($19.4K) |
| open | 1986 · 48k mi | classic | $8.0K–$33.7K ($16.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 47% | Low | 71% |
| 12 mo | UP | 48% | Low | 41% |
| 24 mo | UP | 48% | Low | 33% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Gold (futures) has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.50). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 51 | 61 | 30 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 15 | 75 | 29 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 31 | 53 | 16 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 7 | 67 | 3 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 31 | 35 | 31 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 37 | 34 | 27 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28 | 45 | 21 | 22 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) SS | 21 | 33 | 13 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$9,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-23,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-23,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-23,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.