Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen
The Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen market signals a volatile regime, with a 0.48 probability of a downward trend over 6 months before showing probabilities of 0.53 and 0.55 for upward trends over 12 and 24 months, respectively. Notable scores include a speculation opportunity of 55.82 and liquidity at 46.17, while M2 Money Supply is a strong leading indicator, showing a 0.85 correlation at a 12-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 37 yr, 34k mi example, ~$16.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 65% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 118 scored forecasts: 65% got the direction right, median value error ±37%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 484 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±41%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 1992 · 241k mi | $3.2K–$10.2K | $19.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-26 | 1991 · 8k mi | $11.8K–$37.3K | $41.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | 1988 · 96k mi | $6.3K–$20.0K | $24.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-22 | 1984 · 63k mi | $7.2K–$22.6K | $11.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-22 | 1988 · 129k mi | $4.5K–$18.9K | $6.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-14 | 1988 · 114k mi | $5.0K–$15.9K | $9.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | 1987 · 8k mi | $11.9K–$37.4K | $37.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | 1985 · 39k mi | $8.7K–$27.6K | $12.7K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1988 · 94k mi | ebay | $5.5K–$25.9K ($11.9K) |
| open | 1988 · 94k mi | ebay | $5.5K–$25.9K ($11.9K) |
| open | 1984 · 21k mi | hemmings | $9.1K–$42.9K ($19.7K) |
| open | 1990 · 117k mi | ebay | $4.2K–$20.0K ($9.2K) |
| open | 1988 · 12k mi | ebay | $9.6K–$45.3K ($20.8K) |
| open | 1987 · 60k mi | ebay | $6.2K–$29.4K ($13.5K) |
| open | 1990 · 117k mi | ebay | $4.1K–$19.6K ($9.0K) |
| open | 1991 · 68k mi | hemmings | $6.0K–$28.3K ($13.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 48% | Low | 61% |
| 12 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 65% |
| 24 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 69% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by M2 Money Supply and Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs).
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2011
$100K invested 2011-07 → today (15.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
M2 Money Supply leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 54 | 41 | 49 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 48 | 49 | 34 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 52 | 66 | 42 |
| Plymouth Barracuda 'Cuda | 61 | 85 | 57 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 14 | 82 | 39 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 59 | 39 | 45 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 50 | 47 | 39 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28 | 46 | 48 | 37 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-7,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,900 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=13.0)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$21,995 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-7,000 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=13.0)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.