Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 0k mi example, ~$40.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2023
C&B
$24.2K–$67.9K ($40.5K)
open
2023
C&B
$24.3K–$67.3K ($40.5K)
open
2024 · 2k mi
classic
$24.4K–$78.4K ($43.8K)
open
2025 · 4k mi
classic
$23.8K–$76.4K ($42.6K)
open
2025 · 7k mi
classic
$22.1K–$71.1K ($39.7K)
open
2025 · 8k mi
classic
$21.9K–$70.2K ($39.2K)
open
2025 · 16k mi
classic
$21.4K–$68.6K ($38.3K)
open
2025 · 2k mi
classic
$25.3K–$81.2K ($45.3K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
DOWN
62%
Low
0%
12 mo
DOWN
66%
Low
—
24 mo
DOWN
71%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Dow Jones Industrial has historically led it by about 2 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE Dow Jones Industrial rose 3%. THEREFORE, given its usual 2-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$345) over the next 2 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation -0.73, 20 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2023
$100K invested 2023-09 → today (2.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $71.1K━ S&P 500 $184K━ Gold $222K━ Luxury $80.8K━ Housing $106K₿ Bitcoin $220K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+) roughly 0.7×'d your money (a real 35% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 61% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-33%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ US Regular Gas Price, shifted +2mo
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 2 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +2mo
Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
WTI Crude Oil leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ WTI Crude Oil, shifted +2mo
Effective Fed Funds Rate leads by about 19 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Trade-Weighted Dollar Index leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.72). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Trade-Weighted Dollar Index, shifted +9mo
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.71). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +1mo
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 12 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Nasdaq Composite, shifted +12mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
57
Undervaluation
51
Liquidity
55
Speculation Opportunity
47
Depreciation Risk
50
Overvaluation
44
inventory +0%inventory trend slope
+36% vs 12-mo avgpct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices -0.9%/momedian sale trend slope
asking trend -0.0%/momedian asking trend slope
4% relistedlisting reappearance rate
39 days on marketmedian days on market
new-listing velocity 4% of activenew listing velocity
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,109 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,109 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.