Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)

NISSAN Z RZ34 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$40.8K ▼ $6.5K (−13.7%)12 mo
WATCHUndervalued vs trend · momentum cooling — but volatile.
Supported (limited) · 11 sold + 1094 active
Fair value$40.8K ($35.9K–$45.7K)
Typical ask$43.0K
Recent sold$40.0K
Current valueModerate
12-mo trendSlightly down · 4-in-10 up
Buyer: Prices look low vs trend — a reasonable entry; confirm condition and title.
Seller: Buyers here are value-focused; price near sold comps ($40k) for a timely sale.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$35.9Ksells fast
Fair$40.0Krecent comps
List$42.8Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$46.9Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $35.9K · Fair $35.9K–$45.7K · careful above $46.9K

Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 0k mi example, ~$40.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2023-09 2026-08 $65.0K $30.8K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 37 confirmed sales (26 auction · 11 other)·106 sales tracked·36 months tracked·since 2023-09·3251 active listings

Auction Scorecard live

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2025 · 5k mi classic $26.3K–$74.2K ($44.2K)
open 2024 · 8k mi classic $24.9K–$70.2K ($41.8K)
open 2025 · 22k mi classic $24.7K–$69.7K ($41.5K)
open 2025 · 18k mi classic $24.5K–$69.1K ($41.1K)
open 2025 · 31k mi classic $24.4K–$69.0K ($41.1K)
open 2023 · 0k mi classic $28.5K–$80.1K ($47.8K)
open 2023 · 1k mi classic $27.8K–$78.0K ($46.5K)
open 2024 · 1k mi classic $27.7K–$77.9K ($46.5K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2023-09 now +24mo $196K $2.5K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 55% Low 0%
12 mo DOWN 56% Low
24 mo DOWN 57% Low

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Dow Jones Industrial has historically led it by about 2 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$41.0K now +2mo 2023-09 $57.4K $39.1K
BECAUSE Dow Jones Industrial rose 2%. THEREFORE, given its usual 2-month head start, we expect little change — about +0% (≈ +$175) over the next 2 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation -0.74, 21 months overlap).

If You’d Bought in 2023

$100K invested 2023-09 → today (2.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$71.1K$190K$242K$79.5K$107K 2023 2026 283 100
━ This car $71.1K━ S&P 500 $190K━ Gold $242K━ Luxury $79.5K━ Housing $107K₿ Bitcoin $235K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+) roughly 0.7×'d your money (a real 34% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 63% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-34%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

US Regular Gas Price leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+) ┄ US Regular Gas Price, shifted +2mo
2023-09 2026-08

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
61
Undervaluation
69
Liquidity
57
Speculation Opportunity
60
Depreciation Risk
41
Overvaluation
39
inventory -0% inventory trend slope
+33% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
asking trend -0.0%/mo median asking trend slope
35 days on market median days on market
7% relisted listing reappearance rate
12% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings3251
Median fair value$36,087
Avg deal score52/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
BMW 1M Coupe (E82) 186961
Nissan 350Z 446851
Nissan 350Z NISMO 265957
Nissan 370Z 494347
Alfa Romeo 4C 543945
Fiat 500 (2012-2019) 345847
Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman 464036
Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 184033

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.