Flagged undervalued because -15% vs 2-yr avg, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 0k mi example, ~$40.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2025 · 10k mi
ebay
$23.8K–$68.4K ($40.4K)
open
2025 · 10k mi
ebay
$24.3K–$69.7K ($41.1K)
open
2024 · 8k mi
classic
$24.9K–$70.2K ($41.8K)
open
2025 · 18k mi
classic
$24.5K–$69.1K ($41.1K)
open
2025 · 31k mi
classic
$24.4K–$69.0K ($41.1K)
open
2023 · 1k mi
classic
$27.8K–$78.0K ($46.5K)
open
2024 · 1k mi
classic
$27.7K–$77.9K ($46.5K)
open
2025 · 3k mi
classic
$27.5K–$77.3K ($46.1K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
DOWN
77%
Low
50%
12 mo
DOWN
84%
Low
—
24 mo
DOWN
91%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2023
$100K invested 2023-09 → today (3.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $70.8K━ S&P 500 $189K━ Gold $228K━ Luxury $63.5K━ Housing $108K₿ Bitcoin $320K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+) roughly 0.7×'d your money (a real 35% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 62% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-34%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 17 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +17mo
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ 10-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +18mo
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 4 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +4mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 4 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), shifted +4mo
Silver leads by about 5 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.79). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ Silver, shifted +5mo
Effective Fed Funds Rate leads by about 24 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.79). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
S&P 500 leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ S&P 500, shifted +1mo
30-Year Mortgage Rate leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Nissan Z (RZ34, 2023+)┄ 30-Year Mortgage Rate, shifted +18mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
40
Undervaluation
70
Liquidity
51
Speculation Opportunity
41
Depreciation Risk
56
Overvaluation
36
-15% vs 2-yr avgpct vs trailing 24mo
inventory -0%inventory trend slope
sale prices -1.8%/momedian sale trend slope
-2% vs 12-mo avgpct vs trailing 12mo
45 days on marketmedian days on market
new-listing velocity 2% of activenew listing velocity
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$6,600 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-14,980 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.