Ford Mustang (1969-1973)
Flagged undervalued because asking -19% vs historic sold, inventory -0%, and sell-through 84%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 54 yr, 34k mi example, ~$38.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 69% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 152 scored forecasts: 69% got the direction right, median value error ±35%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 5 in 10
We replayed 901 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±47%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 5 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 1971 · 40k mi | $23.5K–$75.9K | $120K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-02 | 1973 · 34k mi | $22.2K–$71.5K | $23.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-31 | 1969 · 5k mi | $23.4K–$75.3K | $153K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-30 | 1969 · 83k mi | $18.5K–$59.7K | $61.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-29 | 1969 · 72k mi | $20.4K–$65.9K | $8.1K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-27 | 1971 · 61k mi | $22.3K–$71.9K | $85.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-25 | 1970 · 30k mi | $21.7K–$70.0K | $360K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-25 | 1972 · 51k mi | $23.2K–$74.7K | $49.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1971 · 47k mi | ebay | $18.2K–$86.3K ($39.7K) |
| open | 1970 · 32k mi | ebay | $17.3K–$82.0K ($37.7K) |
| open | 1970 · 12k mi | ebay | $16.8K–$79.4K ($36.5K) |
| open | 1970 · 14k mi | ebay | $16.5K–$78.0K ($35.8K) |
| open | 1969 · 28k mi | ebay | $16.1K–$76.2K ($35.0K) |
| open | 1970 · 75k mi | ebay | $15.3K–$72.5K ($33.3K) |
| open | 1970 · 96k mi | BaT | $12.6K–$59.7K ($27.4K) |
| open | 1969 · 100k mi | ebay | $12.1K–$57.2K ($26.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 58% | Low | 73% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 60% | Low | 69% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 64% | Low | 88% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2007
$100K invested 2007-07 → today (19.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
PCE Price Index leads by about 4 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.96). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 42 | 47 | 46 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 31 | 72 | 28 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 55 | 64 | 41 |
| Plymouth Barracuda 'Cuda | 38 | 63 | 62 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 37 | 46 | 36 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 52 | 49 | 52 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen | 55 | 48 | 45 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 50 | 47 | 51 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$32,995 vs prior
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.6)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-15.5)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$32,995 vs prior
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.9)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=18.6)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.