Ford Mustang (1969-1973)
Flagged undervalued because -76% vs 3-yr trend, -71% vs 2-yr avg, and asking -20% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 54 yr, 36k mi example, ~$46.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 87% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 39 scored forecasts: 87% got the direction right, median value error ±12%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 5 in 10
We replayed 829 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±48%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 5 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | 1969 · 59k mi | $27.2K–$79.9K | $69.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-28 | 1969 · 84k mi | $23.8K–$69.9K | $19.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-27 | 1970 · 28k mi | $27.6K–$80.9K | $410K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-27 | 1969 · 5k mi | $29.1K–$85.3K | $126K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-26 | 1969 · 0k mi | $40.1K–$118K | $20.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-25 | 1971 · 60k mi | $27.1K–$79.4K | $54.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | 1973 · 42k mi | $30.5K–$89.4K | $11.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-19 | 1972 · 69k mi | $25.7K–$75.5K | $27.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1971 · 47k mi | ebay | $22.7K–$96.1K ($46.7K) |
| open | 1973 · 65k mi | ebay | $21.0K–$88.8K ($43.1K) |
| open | 1973 · 69k mi | ebay | $20.0K–$84.7K ($41.1K) |
| open | 1969 · 85k mi | classic | $17.0K–$71.9K ($34.9K) |
| open | 1973 · 104k mi | ebay | $13.7K–$58.1K ($28.2K) |
| open | 1973 · 22k mi | classic | $18.8K–$79.6K ($38.7K) |
| open | 1970 · 0k mi | classic | $30.3K–$128K ($62.4K) |
| open | 1969 · 11111k mi | ebay | $8.2K–$34.9K ($17.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 72% | Low | 76% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 78% | Low | 87% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 86% | Low | 96% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.94). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 51 | 61 | 30 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 15 | 75 | 29 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 31 | 53 | 16 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 7 | 67 | 3 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 31 | 35 | 31 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen | 46 | 30 | 31 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 37 | 34 | 27 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28 | 45 | 21 | 22 |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.