Mercedes-Benz C32 AMG (W203)
This is a rare market — roughly 4.3 sale per year documented since 2012 (60 total across all sources).
Tracking 2 sales in the last 90 days. We'll publish a confident 12-month outlook once 3 more sales close — at this market's typical pace, that's roughly 8 months.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 22 yr, 82k mi example, ~$7.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 100% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 8 scored forecasts: 100% got the direction right, median value error ±214%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 31 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±27%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 2002 · 139k mi | $3.2K–$7.2K | $5.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-26 | 2002 · 82k mi | $5.1K–$11.3K | $6.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-11 | 2002 · 125k mi | $4.4K–$9.9K | $7.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-09 | 2003 · 137k mi | $4.1K–$9.2K | $5.6K | ✓ |
| 2025-12-03 | 2002 · 121k mi | $4.4K–$9.9K | $9.2K | ✓ |
| 2025-07-18 | 2003 · 62k mi | $7.4K–$16.6K | $12.8K | ✓ |
| 2025-06-18 | 2003 · 60k mi | $7.9K–$17.6K | $11.1K | ✓ |
| 2025-04-25 | 2001 · 75k mi | $8.8K–$19.7K | $7.1K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2003 | C&B | $4.5K–$12.9K ($7.6K) |
| open | 2002 · 107k mi | BaT | $3.3K–$9.5K ($5.6K) |
| open | 2003 · 60k mi | classic | $5.2K–$16.7K ($9.3K) |
| open | 2002 · 168k mi | classic | $3.0K–$9.8K ($5.5K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-10 → today (5.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.90). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 44 | 45 | 55 |
| Nissan 350Z | 53 | 56 | 54 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 51 | 9 | 58 |
| Nissan 370Z | 48 | 47 | 47 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 49 | 48 | 41 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 66 | 27 | 47 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 48 | 48 | 42 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 20 | 43 | 45 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.4)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.6)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-5.4)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-5.4)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-5.4)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=334.4)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.